TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,012 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd69d…fe68backed Magic0c10,702$16 inLost-$15.897316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pistons46c1,683$771 inWon+$911.351,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic54c1,072$579 inLost-$578.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons44c691.35$306 inWon+$385.41,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Magic58c646.18$373 inLost-$373.0393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Magic58c349.4$203 inLost-$202.6522349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54c…a355backed Magic17c299.99$51 inLost-$51560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Magic58c275.89$160 inLost-$160.0212257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons39c274.27$106 inWon+$167.942,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons58c264.43$153 inWon+$110.961,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Magic16c245.44$39 inLost-$39.274626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Magic16c200$32 inLost-$3227435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Magic11c199.61$21 inLost-$21.1814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Magic62c193.96$120 inLost-$120.182437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Pistons77c166.01$128 inWon+$37.7552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26be…7239backed Pistons78c152.26$119 inWon+$33.372445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Magic21c113.6$24 inLost-$24.422920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Magic15c111.28$17 inLost-$17.097337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Magic60c109.4$66 inLost-$65.6432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Magic10c104.05$10 inLost-$10.4321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pistons46c97.78$44 inWon+$53.2987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked Magic23c95.38$22 inLost-$21.946723.9%16 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons45c93.23$42 inWon+$51.5189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Magic25c79.99$20 inLost-$206947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7d…8ee2backed Magic24c75.26$18 inLost-$18.262642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Magic18c69.71$12 inLost-$12.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Magic54c53.84$29 inLost-$29.183363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Magic70c50$35 inLost-$3521440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Pistons45c37.69$17 inWon+$20.7355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Pistons69c35$24 inWon+$10.91,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Magic58c33.68$19 inLost-$19.4953250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Magic55c29.98$16 inLost-$16.491,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Pistons68c28.49$19 inWon+$9.1221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Magic56c23.63$13 inLost-$13.234454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Magic60c19.75$12 inLost-$11.853871.1%27 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.