TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bf8…36c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT6056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$56.03
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.6
Madrid Open: Simona Waltert vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.74
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Madrid Open: Emilio Nava vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+215.4%+$167.46
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$5.27
Oeiras 4: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Rome: Jacopo Vasami vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.43
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$20.9
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.01
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$11.77
Madrid Open: Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$46.69
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Madrid Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$19.77
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$56.62
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$26.47
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinnbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.33
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.27
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockxbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+46%+$39.88
Gwangju: Alexis Galarneau vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.07
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$7.04
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$8.9
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.38
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$42.17
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.41
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+95%+$31.94
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$19.03
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.94
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$12.5
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$16.63
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$20.11
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$29.96
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$14.43
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$11.74
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$22.34
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$11.75
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.65
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$9.97
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$40.18
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$18.69
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.26
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$15.45
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.36
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$17.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$49.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$53.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.91
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+130.3%+$30.34
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44%+$9.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.13
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$38.73
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.