TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Under51c10,502$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,403.3229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c7,935$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aad…705fbacked Under67c6,006$4,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,044.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c4,091$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over16c3,501$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.73,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under73c2,879$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.7617553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over54c2,139$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.641,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over43c2,007$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.0234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c1,603$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.0495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under50c1,358$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.271,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Over52c1,347$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.685944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under48c960.72$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.451,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over31c815.4$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over10c774.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70076653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over51c622.33$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.947150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over18c494.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.6414438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Under49c492.12$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1410245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under48c422.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5326638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over26c392$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1153945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over51c376.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.648851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under49c359.94$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.121,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c342.2$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Over30c315$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.977237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Under73c288.2$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.376647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over32c264.22$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.865738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under50c252.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.13542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Over34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1337339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1337839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed Under50c199.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.852544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over34c198.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over35c192.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3327553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over28c191.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over59c165.44$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9125360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over25c163.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over51c153.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1116153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Over17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.54037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+93.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Over28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10814449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over30c146$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5723441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over23c140$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2840440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over22c133$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over22c133$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.545544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over30c125$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c117.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.822,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over21c112.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Over30c106$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.26648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8330224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1839…9fccbacked Over30c96.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.351872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c91.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over31c72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Over55c69.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over72c68.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.127652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over36c67.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2cf…9a91backed Under74c58.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Under48c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.414237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under49c54.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff05…f9b3backed Over74c53.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over30c53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.121242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under49c51.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under61c51.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd1…7e42backed Over52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under48c47.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173030%9 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfffb…5f95backed Under45c43.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6624150.2%121 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under62c42.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6213950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c42.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4427463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x26b1…8665backed Over51c40.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.851266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c36.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under57c35.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.046274.2%46 W · 16 L+11.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over57c34.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over47c29.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6914359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over51c26.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0618459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83c4…4c57backed Under79c25.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4499…943bbacked Under51c24.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.624344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeefb…d11fbacked Under75c24.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.374353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Over51c23.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.654454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8213…48a3backed Over51c20.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over53c19.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3211261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89c…df9abacked Over54c19.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.111947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed Under76c19.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.986344.4%28 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd933…4e0abacked Over75c16.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.