NBA · resolved market
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbead36cc9fdd0b1b5167ea6c460149f9f20496a875e2ddca2fe9776e302928e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 40c | 10,026$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015.35 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 62c | 3,794$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 60c | 3,512$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.25 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 37c | 1,942$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.53 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dac…3b3cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,131$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 41c | 899.3$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.59 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Yes | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 59c | 776.99$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 60c | 691.01$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.6 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Yes | 60c | 518.12$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.87 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed No | 41c | 387.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Yes | 60c | 363.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.84 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 39c | 266.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 60c | 210.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 11c | 204$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Yes | 60c | 175.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Yes | 60c | 175.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Yes | 60c | 125.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 60c | 113.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Yes | 60c | 102.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 60c | 81.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked No | 44c | 74.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Yes | 60c | 74.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Yes | 59c | 65.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 60c | 65.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yes | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 60c | 50.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Yes | 60c | 42.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes | 60c | 41.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Yes | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 245 | 66.9%164 W · 81 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…b8abbacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Yes | 60c | 32.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Yes | 60c | 27.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 60c | 23.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 60c | 22.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.