NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x854efe64550a69f3c4f983fcf97f29e7c6d39500e031c8b1accdbb0356f2950a

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $244,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $260,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,672 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Over	32c	93,077$29,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,412.93	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	48c	38,510$18,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,978.09	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	28,572$13,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,763.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	52c	18,933$9,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,780.23	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	17,249$9,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,152.6	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	49c	9,983$4,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,091.14	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	68c	8,475$5,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,715.46	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	19c	8,007$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,533.74	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over	60c	7,459$4,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,490.15	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	73c	6,482$4,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,729.02	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…a687backed Over	44c	4,521$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.37	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over	29c	3,796$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.53	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	13c	3,748$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.07	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb579…d7d0backed Under	48c	3,297$1,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,714.6	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over	50c	3,018$1,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,503.69	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	46c	2,921$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,355.7	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over	51c	2,912$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.02	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under	55c	2,751$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.43	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	37c	2,600$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over	50c	2,426$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.29	199	37.2%74 W · 125 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	33c	1,956$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.41	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	62c	1,947$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.37	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over	52c	1,714$883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.12	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	48c	1,562$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.24	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over	52c	1,494$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.96	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	45c	1,491$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.15	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4f…ec14backed Under	55c	1,480$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.26	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Under	48c	1,210$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.01	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Over	48c	1,166$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.68	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	71c	1,123$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.95	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Under	48c	1,110$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over	28c	1,030$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.4	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Under	71c	996$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.84	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over	52c	933.85$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.6	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under	50c	905.98$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.99	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over	55c	885.91$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.47	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	52c	803.11$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.62	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	37c	779.97$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.59	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-13.8wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	48c	776.69$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.86	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	52c	728.55$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.85	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under	66c	676.04$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.1	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	52c	674$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.48	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under	74c	669.22$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.11	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over	47c	619$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.45	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	49c	581.02$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.69	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…ccc1backed Over	51c	575.55$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.1	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under	48c	504.58$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.38	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over	47c	453.02$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.23	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over	43c	450.3$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.15	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over	55c	438.73$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.3	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over	28c	434.31$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.41	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf444…8bb9backed Over	52c	418.36$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.55	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under	74c	399.08$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.76	82	63.4%52 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Over	52c	378.01$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.17	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over	52c	373.53$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.24	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under	68c	360.59$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.39	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under	49c	322.02$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.23	122	57.4%70 W · 52 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	62c	311.82$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.77	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	37c	278.64$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.87	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under	49c	278.06$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.81	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over	24c	274.41$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.11	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under	49c	267.93$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.84	80	57.5%46 W · 34 L	+7.0wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	60c	257.43$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.49	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	48c	247.87$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.67	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d7…b138backed Over	18c	222.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	49c	210.34$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.27	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	50c	206.34$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.34	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe420…09afbacked Over	11c	202.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over	48c	201.83$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.88	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed Over	49c	199.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	35c	196.59$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.39	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Over	15c	191.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	52c	186.77$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.12	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under	53c	183.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+10%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over	51c	178.09$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.83	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	39c	161.81$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.82	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over	30c	159.67$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.9	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over	53c	155.85$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	182	56.6%103 W · 79 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	64c	148.14$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.24	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	47c	142.47$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under	54c	137.45$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.23	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	49c	133.75$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.47	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Over	52c	130.74$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.98	124	58.9%73 W · 51 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1839…9fccbacked Over	37c	130.03$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	53c	124.34$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.9	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Under	79c	124.3$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.52	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	76cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eca…87dabacked Over	10c	117.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under	59c	108.49$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.12	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Under	47c	99.98$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under	49c	98.92$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.45	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Under	70c	98.73$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.91	532	50.4%268 W · 264 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81fd…1cd0backed Under	53c	97.18$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.67	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over	26c	96.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.94	259	58.3%151 W · 108 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event