TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,344 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d08…2142backed Under54c816.52$444 inLost-$444.4265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over47c669.5$315 inWon+$354.846233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under53c441.33$234 inLost-$233.591,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c240.58$113 inWon+$127.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over50c203.68$102 inWon+$102.1361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c160.02$76 inLost-$76.042,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over28c153.77$43 inWon+$111.1362047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2cf…9a91backed Over56c151.59$85 inWon+$66.163161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over40c133.89$54 inWon+$80.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over49c124.78$61 inWon+$63.4989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Under50c100$50 inLost-$502540%10 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Over40c97.15$39 inWon+$58.2918450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f3…2c21backed Under46c96.76$45 inLost-$44.512070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Over52c80.6$42 inWon+$38.7410745.8%49 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c77.19$39 inLost-$39.151,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…8405backed Under50c64.21$32 inLost-$32.113161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under51c63.84$33 inLost-$32.537753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Over55c61.04$34 inWon+$27.472268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Under45c59.03$27 inLost-$26.562347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under49c41.94$20 inLost-$20.4422143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over49c39.27$19 inWon+$19.881450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c33.24$17 inLost-$17.291,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc89c…df9abacked Under64c30.75$20 inLost-$19.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under70c25.7$18 inLost-$17.997448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Under57c20.4$12 inLost-$11.692755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over51c19.69$10 inWon+$9.6585248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.