NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e12c8b38acac4fc1458e5d5b7fde51810b20d3a469b2b6b59b4a8ece6cf8a0

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $574,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $737,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,649 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers	55c	124,223$68,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,900.17	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Raptors	45c	115,408$51,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,891.96	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Raptors	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,999.99	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors	47c	16,400$7,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,683.72	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Cavaliers	52c	16,023$8,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,691.13	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers	55c	15,000$8,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,801.53	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	44c	13,371$5,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,934.25	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers	52c	12,722$6,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,050.16	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Raptors	45c	11,110$4,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.47	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Cavaliers	55c	10,615$5,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,776.55	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers	50c	10,288$5,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,144.04	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors	45c	9,859$4,437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,436.61	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Cavaliers	54c	9,724$5,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,473.04	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors	46c	9,211$4,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,279.59	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors	9c	8,900$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.76	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Cavaliers	54c	7,192$3,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,308.87	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors	48c	7,110$3,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,448.1	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers	58c	6,153$3,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,591.38	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	46c	5,523$2,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,559.3	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Raptors	49c	5,389$2,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640.58	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked Raptors	48c	5,011$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,405.37	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	28c	4,526$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.67	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	61c	4,301$2,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.3	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51cc…a4e2backed Raptors	47c	4,293$2,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,017.73	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Raptors	46c	4,207$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935.2	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers	55c	4,029$2,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,813.07	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1357…7553backed Raptors	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,839.95	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors	49c	3,985$1,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.58	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf0…9363backed Cavaliers	53c	3,875$2,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,821.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Raptors	15c	3,587$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.04	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1adc…c60dbacked Raptors	46c	3,393$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.05	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Raptors	46c	3,360$1,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,548.28	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors	46c	3,344$1,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,528.72	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers	52c	3,323$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.11	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Raptors	49c	3,300$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecf8…f5cdbacked Raptors	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Raptors	46c	2,784$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.84	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Cavaliers	51c	2,600$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors	25c	2,429$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.25	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Cavaliers	61c	2,370$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.76	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2791…2f45backed Cavaliers	53c	2,340$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.69	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers	55c	2,327$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.08	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Raptors	45c	2,254$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.38	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Cavaliers	65c	2,248$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.49	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca01…c62fbacked Cavaliers	54c	2,203$1,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.31	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Cavaliers	65c	2,194$1,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.51	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Raptors	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Raptors	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Raptors	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.91	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6917…f6e7backed Cavaliers	51c	1,975$1,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Cavaliers	66c	1,929$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.64	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Raptors	48c	1,780$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.55	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors	37c	1,686$627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.42	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers	55c	1,599$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$719.52	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors	45c	1,505$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.09	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Raptors	47c	1,501$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.3	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Cavaliers	56c	1,495$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.75	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Raptors	47c	1,442$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.74	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cavaliers	55c	1,216$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.31	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors	45c	1,147$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.93	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors	21c	1,108$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.12	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors	46c	1,102$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.95	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Raptors	48c	1,085$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.71	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers	53c	1,070$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.35	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Raptors	47c	1,030$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.1	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Cavaliers	53c	1,000$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Raptors	50c	999.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Cavaliers	52c	999.99$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.33	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Raptors	46c	999.99$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.99	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Raptors	45c	999.97$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Cavaliers	53c	991.29$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.82	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…9668backed Raptors	49c	988.79$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.51	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	36cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors	39c	982.87$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.6	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Cavaliers	56c	973.6$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.38	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Cavaliers	53c	971.8$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.75	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers	52c	917.13$477 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.22	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Cavaliers	55c	884.55$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.05	87	56.3%49 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc1…8a4cbacked Cavaliers	55c	884.55$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors	46c	881.71$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.61	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors	46c	881.71$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.61	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Cavaliers	56c	869.29$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.49	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Raptors	45c	851.22$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.26	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Raptors	47c	840.13$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.86	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Raptors	48c	812.33$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.97	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Cavaliers	61c	805.45$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.26	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Cavaliers	55c	778.4$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.28	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…d4b3backed Cavaliers	50c	776$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors	47c	735.22$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.54	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Raptors	47c	720$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.15	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Cavaliers	53c	685.6$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.09	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Raptors	31c	667.68$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.73	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers	53c	667.06$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.86	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Cavaliers	52c	650.9$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.93	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Raptors	45c	644.98$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.1	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Cavaliers	53c	641.01$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.28	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Raptors	2c	640.31$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Raptors	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Raptors	47c	619.65$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.23	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event