TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c29,989$15,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,023.2825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c12,590$6,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,230.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c11,728$5,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,629.641,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked Under52c10,868$5,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,216.766150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under52c4,999$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.5643348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under53c4,024$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.134951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c3,524$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c2,924$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c2,500$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9703751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c1,675$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.431,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,660$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,600$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.936,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under52c991.12$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7420744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under52c840.46$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.4246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c816$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under53c754.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8411556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over45c750.15$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under55c729.75$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3929650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under54c720.3$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.3423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under49c672.65$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.0568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Over47c620.86$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.811030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c534.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c501.75$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c448.5$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.453,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ce2…4d84backed Over46c423.74$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…3c84backed Over48c383.58$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…6e22backed Over48c383.14$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf923…e54bbacked Under53c375.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c361.33$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under54c358.96$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.121,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over48c358.4$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6122349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under51c343.24$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under51c314.96$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5526638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c292.84$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over23c286.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.811,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c282.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c278.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.551,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under55c269.92$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0416749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over47c260.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over30c210.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over30c201.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5df…b5b0backed Over48c199.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eca…87dabacked Over8c195.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c193.48$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8720647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…b137backed Over47c185.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac7…d777backed Under54c180.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb65…5960backed Under54c180.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under54c178.75$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under54c178.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4715651.9%81 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c171$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c163.59$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8942853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over36c140.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under54c127.85$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8127251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under52c122.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.798057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under53c113.97$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2216842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5ef…ed56backed Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-75.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8dd…5672backed Over48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.472951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over15c94.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.097856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5029…c8bebacked Under53c91.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.414346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under54c89.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5915562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under52c87.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9611850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over40c85.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5559743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c84.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.571,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under54c79.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.527946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under53c72.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Over45c69.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.218762.1%54 W · 33 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under76c60.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…01f3backed Under63c58.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf056…0316backed Under52c55.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over47c51.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.146950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f14…9fe8backed Under52c51.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over40c50.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c49.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Under54c49.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.675666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73aa…fc48backed Under52c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4114144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5417459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd169…e755backed Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under52c45.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.934242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0799…567cbacked Under52c44.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b9…c1d7backed Over46c43.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d0…2606backed Over49c42.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over47c41.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7335551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over45c40.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2116153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3822347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.579150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a90…a84abacked Under52c35.49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Under55c35.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.037546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c31.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.081,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under52c31.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under53c30.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.225560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3d…5f25backed Under52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.452552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee6…f017backed Under52c27.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.394774.5%35 W · 12 L+11.6wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under54c25.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8446255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf8…36c6backed Under53c24.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.