NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9259e46601c91f20c89e058a2d1082b8228715a2aef4a227a0e3eda89f598ab0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 50c | 29,989$15,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,023.28 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 12,590$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,230.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 11,728$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.64 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Under | 52c | 10,868$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.76 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 52c | 4,999$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.56 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 53c | 4,024$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.13 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 3,524$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 2,924$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 1,675$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.43 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,660$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,600$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.93 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 52c | 991.12$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.74 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 52c | 840.46$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 51c | 816$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 53c | 754.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.84 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 750.15$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 55c | 729.75$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 54c | 720.3$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 672.65$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.05 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…5129backed Over | 47c | 620.86$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 534.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.31 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 501.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 448.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…4d84backed Over | 46c | 423.74$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…3c84backed Over | 48c | 383.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…6e22backed Over | 48c | 383.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf923…e54bbacked Under | 53c | 375.88$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 361.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 54c | 358.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 48c | 358.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 51c | 343.24$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 51c | 314.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 292.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 23c | 286.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 282.57$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 278.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 55c | 269.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 260.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 30c | 210.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 30c | 201.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…b5b0backed Over | 48c | 199.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Over | 8c | 195.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 193.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…b137backed Over | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…d777backed Under | 54c | 180.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…5960backed Under | 54c | 180.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 54c | 178.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 54c | 178.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 171$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 163.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 36c | 140.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 54c | 127.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 52c | 122.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 53c | 113.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…ed56backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…5a00backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Over | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 15c | 94.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…c8bebacked Under | 53c | 91.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 54c | 89.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Under | 52c | 87.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 40c | 85.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 84.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 54c | 79.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 53c | 72.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 45c | 69.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 76c | 60.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…01f3backed Under | 63c | 58.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…0316backed Under | 52c | 55.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 47c | 51.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…9fe8backed Under | 52c | 51.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 40c | 50.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Under | 54c | 49.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…fc48backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…e755backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 52c | 45.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…567cbacked Under | 52c | 44.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…c1d7backed Over | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…2606backed Over | 49c | 42.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 47c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 45c | 40.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…a84abacked Under | 52c | 35.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Under | 55c | 35.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 31.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 52c | 31.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 53c | 30.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…5f25backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Under | 52c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 54c | 25.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…36c6backed Under | 53c | 24.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.