TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed No51c951.22$484 inWon+$467.265,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes48c800$384 inLost-$38484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No52c777.56$404 inWon+$373.3376054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x914d…41cabacked Yes49c294.95$145 inLost-$145.446131.1%19 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost-$96.945143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Yes49c197.84$97 inLost-$96.942524%6 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid+92%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Yes48c149.7$72 inLost-$71.869239.1%36 W · 56 L-10.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4254…1d02backed Yes49c118.7$58 inLost-$58.16130%0 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Yes49c98.92$48 inLost-$48.474360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No50c80$40 inWon+$4095049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No49c77.45$38 inWon+$39.590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0a0…b468backed Yes49c67.86$33 inLost-$33.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Yes51c59$30 inLost-$30.091,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No52c58.18$30 inWon+$27.9341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Yes49c58.16$29 inLost-$28.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No52c56.03$29 inWon+$26.8914649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes50c54.32$27 inLost-$27.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No51c50$26 inWon+$24.562047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No52c46.69$24 inWon+$22.4166046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No50c44.39$22 inWon+$22.13,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c42$21 inWon+$211,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed No60c40.81$24 inWon+$16.3320146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Yes49c39.57$19 inLost-$19.395253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b3…fb5cbacked Yes49c34.44$17 inLost-$17.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes49c33.93$17 inLost-$16.6313764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No51c29.83$15 inWon+$14.7326957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.