TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$579,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$637,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c199,152$98,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,033.781,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under50c92,245$46,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,922.261,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c49,467$25,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,239.0420545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c39,796$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,500.051,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under51c33,059$16,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,199.15935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c30,405$15,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,204.0914842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under52c28,024$14,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,456.358452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over49c27,359$13,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,278.1717251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c24,383$12,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,984.789,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c19,400$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,70090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over30c18,864$5,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,659.0656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Over48c14,585$7,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdfc…bf06backed Over50c14,407$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,203.711020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under51c13,577$6,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,652.727852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under51c12,227$6,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,991.3129055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c9,531$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.831,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…f5cfbacked Under51c9,516$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3979…7dacbacked Over50c8,427$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under51c7,628$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.525442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Under50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7503641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c7,270$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.2921943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe099…0574backed Under51c6,865$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c6,279$3,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c5,900$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.094,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under51c5,709$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.614951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over48c5,596$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.132846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Over50c5,062$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.649651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over49c4,922$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.931,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over49c4,922$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.9332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under52c4,679$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.9629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Over49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.811249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.0279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over37c3,718$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.711,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under51c2,982$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.293641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over48c2,980$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.4719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under52c2,446$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.465354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c2,369$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.2418650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c2,330$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.8784342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over48c1,971$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.173151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under51c1,941$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.19933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,934$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.2580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over1c1,911$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over42c1,862$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,668$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.4264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over50c1,358$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c1,280$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.6234850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over21c1,239$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c1,233$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,232$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,164$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under51c1,151$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c1,085$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Under79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Under49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.992245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over48c999.91$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c989.23$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.77150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over49c989.04$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5512257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48516050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4855945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c959.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under48c925.93$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.482564%16 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+71.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ad0…31e6backed Under51c882.37$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked Over49c860.83$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over49c830$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.71,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40026745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c784.73$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fd…0179backed Under51c770.54$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c761.95$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under60c700.77$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.312,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under50c679$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.58148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under51c666.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3911651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under51c649.2$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Under51c640.6$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.891030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over50c635.76$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.883243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under55c607.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.691,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28818842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under51c580.58$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6627450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Under52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.952842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c478.86$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.681,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.043246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under51c457.49$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1712857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c454.88$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over50c431.45$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1123650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c418.02$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb0…6b5bbacked Over50c407.4$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cc…a136backed Over51c398.86$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.886656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.885633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.886448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19421354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa319…e022backed Over49c385.78$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under51c383.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.515562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.