NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda955a9e3195606bd9d83753436220b8eab99bb856ade6f532a576dd417b964e

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Raptors, Cavaliers
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,045,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,343,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,045,879 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Raptors	21c	180,987$37,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,890.81	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers	79c	124,942$98,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,237.92	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Raptors	20c	99,898$19,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,979.69	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	79c	69,906$55,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,611.95	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors	14c	68,054$9,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,605.94	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Raptors	16c	62,359$10,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,106.61	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors	14c	51,749$7,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,455.23	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Raptors	20c	50,000$10,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,055.15	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Cavaliers	80c	49,400$39,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,880	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Raptors	4c	42,131$1,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,754.49	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors	13c	39,888$5,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,097.69	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Cavaliers	79c	39,648$31,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,326.06	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Raptors	14c	36,237$4,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,911.32	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors	10c	34,316$3,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,409.74	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Cavaliers	80c	30,875$24,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,175	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raptors	5c	30,146$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.24	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Raptors	12c	27,685$3,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,366.35	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors	7c	25,759$1,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,723.39	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors	8c	25,506$2,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,089.57	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors	13c	24,875$3,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,284.1	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6911…5318backed Cavaliers	78c	23,556$18,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,089.54	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors	22c	22,307$5,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,016.43	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Raptors	21c	22,221$4,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,666.4	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Raptors	15c	20,688$3,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,164	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Raptors	21c	20,685$4,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,343.85	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Cavaliers	78c	20,518$16,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,513.88	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Raptors	20c	20,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.99	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Raptors	23c	19,831$4,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,561.24	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Raptors	21c	19,052$4,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000.92	109	30.3%33 W · 76 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Raptors	0c	18,808$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Raptors	13c	18,695$2,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,514.22	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96b1…da36backed Raptors	12c	18,224$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.81	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+4.5wins	+0.19per pick	23cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers	78c	15,305$11,905 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.98	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Raptors	0c	15,100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.25	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors	22c	14,205$3,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,190.12	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Raptors	5c	13,999$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.11	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Raptors	17c	13,587$2,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,303.9	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors	23c	13,500$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.98	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Raptors	21c	13,491$2,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,833.57	373	55%205 W · 168 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa8…e9abbacked Raptors	23c	13,248$3,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,047.08	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Cavaliers	80c	12,990$10,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,627.96	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed Raptors	13c	11,538$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.93	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Raptors	23c	11,500$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.97	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Raptors	0c	11,295$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Raptors	22c	11,000$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,459.97	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors	22c	10,578$2,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,358.71	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors	11c	10,347$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.19	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Raptors	10c	10,097$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.63	125	29.6%37 W · 88 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Raptors	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.99	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Raptors	14c	9,891$1,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.72	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors	10c	9,767$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.08	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors	6c	9,535$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.52	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors	22c	9,238$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.27	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers	78c	9,151$7,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,019.73	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors	12c	9,117$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.54	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Raptors	21c	9,072$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.2	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors	21c	9,072$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.2	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	79c	8,774$6,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.84	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	10c	8,446$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.37	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Raptors	20c	8,000$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.96	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Cavaliers	79c	8,000$6,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Raptors	3c	7,920$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.7	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Raptors	20c	7,846$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.15	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Cavaliers	80c	7,652$6,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.41	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Cavaliers	79c	7,492$5,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.3	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors	0c	7,071$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb08f…4ea1backed Cavaliers	79c	6,753$5,335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.15	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Raptors	21c	6,668$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.32	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors	6c	6,579$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.25	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…58b2backed Cavaliers	79c	6,263$4,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315.25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Raptors	11c	6,239$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.4	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Raptors	23c	5,637$1,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.5	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Raptors	2c	5,609$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.18	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Cavaliers	80c	5,530$4,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,105.92	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…b3d2backed Raptors	14c	5,146$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.91	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Raptors	0c	5,128$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c8…1d16backed Cavaliers	77c	5,020$3,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.54	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Raptors	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Cavaliers	78c	5,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.98	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cavaliers	79c	4,999$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.89	419	54.4%228 W · 191 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Raptors	22c	4,922$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.84	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors	21c	4,906$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.24	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Raptors	21c	4,867$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.13	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Raptors	21c	4,763$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.23	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Raptors	20c	4,760$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cavaliers	80c	4,281$3,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.2	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Raptors	7c	4,248$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.26	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Raptors	21c	4,223$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.87	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Cavaliers	76c	4,163$3,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.09	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Raptors	15c	4,126$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.29	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors	11c	4,024$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.23	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Raptors	4c	3,976$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.31	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	13cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Raptors	17c	3,912$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.06	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+6.4wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb926…e7e3backed Cavaliers	79c	3,902$3,083 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	72cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors	21c	3,810$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.18	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Raptors	21c	3,668$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.18	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Raptors	21c	3,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	13c	3,292$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.46	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Raptors	15c	3,289$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.47	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Raptors won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event