NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6733f3b3e8a3eb58ff55cab60963dbec6719b63ecf2d53fc17a463a5c6ce5005
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Raptors | 50c | 19,506$9,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,850.06 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 19,478$11,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,719.78 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Raptors | 51c | 18,705$9,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,539.37 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 50c | 18,404$9,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,159.98 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 16,109$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 50c | 14,181$7,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080.51 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Raptors | 50c | 11,684$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.86 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 11,610$5,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,825.54 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Cavaliers | 50c | 11,058$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,529 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,476$5,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,238 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 36c | 7,892$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 33c | 6,892$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.01 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,056$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.38 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…d7d0backed Raptors | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Raptors | 50c | 5,811$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 74c | 5,750$4,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 5,492$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.05 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,776$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.14 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Raptors | 49c | 4,657$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.03 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,269$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.56 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 46c | 3,918$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…bf20backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,843$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,686$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,607$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.37 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,261$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.17 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,186$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,496$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.51 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.5 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…019cbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 2,261$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.44 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Raptors | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,937$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.02 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 44c | 1,928$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.69 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.64 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.91 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,776$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.82 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Raptors | 50c | 1,318$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 1,242$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.73 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,160$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.27 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Raptors | 36c | 1,150$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.92 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cavaliers | 62c | 1,113$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Raptors | 51c | 1,094$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Raptors | 15c | 1,074$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Cavaliers | 58c | 1,063$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.16 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Raptors | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Raptors | 49c | 999.95$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Raptors | 38c | 985.74$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.73 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 54c | 919.48$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.8 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors | 48c | 873.47$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors | 48c | 873.11$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers | 50c | 784.8$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.4 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cavaliers | 49c | 748.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.98 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…70a7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 727.23$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 720.02$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.77 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Raptors | 34c | 706.4$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.11 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Raptors | 43c | 699.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 664.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 649.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.48 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Raptors | 50c | 587.82$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.91 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Raptors | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Cavaliers | 61c | 567.23$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Raptors | 45c | 534.63$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.54 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Raptors | 37c | 532$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cavaliers | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +8.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Cavaliers | 53c | 471.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raptors | 55c | 463.02$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.61 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…86c0backed Raptors | 42c | 441.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 48c | 429.07$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cavaliers | 58c | 416.82$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Cavaliers | 63c | 399.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Raptors | 51c | 399.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Cavaliers | 63c | 398.17$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 396.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Raptors | 50c | 391.88$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.98 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Cavaliers | 52c | 388.08$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Raptors | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…e373backed Cavaliers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Cavaliers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 387.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Raptors | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Cavaliers | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 354.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors | 43c | 341.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed Cavaliers | 50c | 339.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Cavaliers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Cavaliers | 73c | 299.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Raptors | 40c | 296.41$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Dean Wade: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Jakob Poeltl: Points O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jakob Poeltl: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.