TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe903…6adb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
293
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT14060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,148.87
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.95
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$990
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,399.23
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,067.6
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$236.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,299.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,349.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$32
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$959.86
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$477.97
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.28
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$327.52
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$309.2
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$910.79
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$331.69
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$387.94
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$360
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.88
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$316.15
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,600
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,220
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.39
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.49
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$528
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$363.47
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$768.5
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.98
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$744.06
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$365.4
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.88
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286.49
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.97
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$881.49
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$144.64
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$253.79
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$810.47
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.67
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$653.3
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$527.04
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.94
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$9,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,055.93
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25,200.11
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,999.63
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,599.66
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$3,465
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,464.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$9,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,259.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,170
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$8,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,579.9
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$8,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,399.97
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$12,199.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,699.96
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,599.95
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$9,627.31
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$14,199.64
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,376.95
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764.01
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,937.78
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.95
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$779.99
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$2,840
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,174.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$89.18
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Virtus.probacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.9
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Vitality vs. Legacybacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$497.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$387.52
49ers vs. Giantsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$418.93
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$949.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,412Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$2,581.51
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100.33
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$514.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$162
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,034.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$751.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,322.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$73.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.