TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

49ers vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof 49ers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,523,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,670,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,523,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Giants44c668,906$294,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294,318.688344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Giants44c181,839$80,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,100.8886547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed 49ers56c130,000$72,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,2005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed 49ers56c120,000$67,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,80010333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked 49ers56c107,450$60,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,314.3833553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed 49ers56c78,222$43,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,417.4122950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers62c75,494$47,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,451.0547738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed 49ers64c70,365$45,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,108.789944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked 49ers56c64,874$36,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,544.7424456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giants18c49,373$9,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,063.4320026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed 49ers68c36,034$24,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,369.676245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed 49ers59c33,000$19,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5308946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Giants15c32,894$5,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.0741947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed 49ers57c30,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,90013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed 49ers56c30,000$16,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers56c23,000$12,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,12024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Giants43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9819645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed 49ers56c19,313$10,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,460.612540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed 49ers56c18,155$10,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,988.227454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed 49ers55c15,000$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70014450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed 49ers56c14,000$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1603979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.2wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Giants42c13,559$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,694.6117041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Giants43c13,507$5,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,794.127248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked 49ers56c12,073$6,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,312.125453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants4c11,840$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.1368446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked 49ers57c9,617$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.133557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Giants29c9,473$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.9830043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Giants28c9,000$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5105234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Giants28c8,535$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.868532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Giants41c8,333$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.4125956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Giants41c7,353$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.1531350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed 49ers56c7,143$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.8613142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Giants43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.9851352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed 49ers55c5,988$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.7210434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed 49ers56c5,877$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.796752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 49ers56c5,754$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.5937350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed 49ers57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.165464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Giants22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c0…3ac5backed Giants43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba5…4cc5backed 49ers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Giants43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers56c4,503$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.5331854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed 49ers56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2918650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Giants45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed 49ers58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.3418140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbba8…958dbacked Giants1c3,841$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed 49ers78c3,703$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.9816254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked 49ers57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.772161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Giants45c3,500$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58018044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked 49ers58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47014148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16af…b0c4backed Giants43c3,452$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed 49ers56c3,450$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers56c3,125$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3751,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Giants42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9717144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed 49ers56c2,821$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.1814443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 49ers54c2,821$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.631,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed Giants44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked 49ers56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Giants1c2,461$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Giants43c2,358$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.3541248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Giants36c2,200$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 49ers57c2,184$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.2354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc790…20b8backed 49ers57c2,050$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…a98fbacked Giants43c2,050$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1808…fb72backed Giants42c2,000$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed 49ers58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed 49ers56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe46e…5334backed Giants43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Giants43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd3…7f4abacked 49ers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x506c…20e0backed 49ers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde52…9d3abacked Giants43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb714…eb1bbacked 49ers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giants25c1,937$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.4350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed 49ers69c1,834$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.126960.9%42 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Giants42c1,776$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.925764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giants47c1,756$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.3327348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5918…6bfcbacked Giants27c1,730$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.71741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f76…e8dcbacked 49ers59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed 49ers73c1,657$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.4231056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 49ers56c1,522$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.6861148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Giants32c1,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47556852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 49ers58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed 49ers56c1,432$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.828451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked 49ers57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5111748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Giants4c1,365$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed 49ers56c1,350$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed 49ers56c1,343$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.4720646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Giants50c1,331$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66012343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…7469backed Giants43c1,256$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked 49ers48c1,254$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…a730backed Giants43c1,231$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc6…e182backed Giants44c1,227$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ab…5c9bbacked Giants44c1,227$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants2c1,194$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Giants43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0914035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3445…7488backed Giants44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.