TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf967…8cd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST9042.2%38 W · 52 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$111.42
Spread: 76ers (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+425.4%+$1,909.95
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+809.1%+$890
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$63
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$146
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+284.6%+$296
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$245
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST5234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$132.5
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$386.07
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$120
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$650
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$335
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Spread: Bills (-12.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.2%+$570.72
Browns vs. Bengals: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$340
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$1,320
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$450
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$108.51
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$305
Spread: Texans (-14.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$235
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$340
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+470.9%+$1,363.05
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+457.1%+$365.04
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$62.03
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$88.08
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$740
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$117.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+143.9%+$590
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs B8 (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$539.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$63.47
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$819.99
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+170.3%+$629.96
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$940
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$680
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO1)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+316.7%+$380
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$231.3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$4,000
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$400
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$378.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$532.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$917.16
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$448.64
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$55.64
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+455.6%+$819.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+66.7%+$200
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$215
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$116.25
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$920.76
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$1,654.87
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.08
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.86
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,230.38
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,634.92
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$897Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$282.8
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,000
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$210
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$1,285.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,102.75
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,730Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+44.5%+$770
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$456
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Heroic vs 1win (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$231.66
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Dota 2: Heroic vs Aurora (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+203%+$201
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$195
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$439.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$94.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$410
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+138.1%+$290
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+89.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$296
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$740
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$195
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$168.72
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+488.2%+$829.99
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$174.78
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$260
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$255
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+92.7%+$76.96
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+426.3%+$1,619.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.