CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ad68dc10986da50e35f75e95abba6097721792661594a73512772fe0c43613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8151…beebbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 44c | 1,495$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.2 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed TheMongolz | 26c | 1,457$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed FURIA | 69c | 1,443$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.48 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed FURIA | 46c | 1,299$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.38 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 2c | 1,227$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,200$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 70c | 1,023$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.93 | 1,627 | 45.7%743 W · 884 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 40c | 600$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 45c | 508.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.28 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed FURIA | 61c | 503.77$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 389 | 39.3%153 W · 236 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 819 | 44.4%364 W · 455 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked FURIA | 61c | 492.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked TheMongolz | 33c | 449.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed FURIA | 60c | 437.12$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 77c | 430.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…d080backed FURIA | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked FURIA | 56c | 382.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…b4e0backed FURIA | 66c | 362.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 273.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 173 | 36.4%63 W · 110 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…cfe2backed FURIA | 55c | 255.72$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 57c | 252.69$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed FURIA | 62c | 233.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…3ed5backed TheMongolz | 42c | 201.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed TheMongolz | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FURIA | 61c | 183.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…7f77backed TheMongolz | 64c | 172.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed FURIA | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked TheMongolz | 56c | 160$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 158.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 859 | 37.7%324 W · 535 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 49c | 157.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked FURIA | 68c | 148.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed TheMongolz | 18c | 142.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked TheMongolz | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 130.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 121.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…9985backed TheMongolz | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed FURIA | 55c | 94.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FURIA | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked FURIA | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 73.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed TheMongolz | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 66.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…4df2backed TheMongolz | 44c | 65.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…8d39backed TheMongolz | 22c | 64.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed FURIA | 59c | 60.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 61c | 53.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed FURIA | 66c | 53.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…044bbacked FURIA | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 49.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed FURIA | 70c | 47.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed FURIA | 40c | 47.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked FURIA | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…fb21backed TheMongolz | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…58a2backed FURIA | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed TheMongolz | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked FURIA | 65c | 32.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 58c | 32.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked FURIA | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…4322backed FURIA | 67c | 26.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked FURIA | 51c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0b…8996backed FURIA | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…8da0backed FURIA | 67c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…23ecbacked FURIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.