CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13d674dbcfb2b6a09ed773db8c98458da83453ed4d1308e57f36b1b502c097e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 54c | 703.63$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.67 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 664.07$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 35c | 561.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 51c | 387.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.93 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 385.11$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 46c | 325.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 10c | 271.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Over | 46c | 217.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 58c | 177.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…232abacked Over | 50c | 149.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 49c | 142.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Over | 49c | 131.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 69c | 112.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Over | 12c | 101.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 45c | 96.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…b4e0backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 48c | 93.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…d38bbacked Under | 55c | 42.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.