CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7900b53245da65a5969e32c44255c04b755a7ec221287a374f9d12553a8fa034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked FURIA | 68c | 17,898$12,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.11 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 12,700$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz | 13c | 8,628$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed FURIA | 67c | 7,611$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.85 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed TheMongolz | 32c | 7,559$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.88 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FURIA | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed FURIA | 73c | 6,892$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked TheMongolz | 32c | 6,599$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed TheMongolz | 33c | 6,522$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.7 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TheMongolz | 32c | 6,123$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.83 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed TheMongolz | 26c | 5,500$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TheMongolz | 27c | 4,718$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed TheMongolz | 33c | 4,665$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.32 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 67c | 4,395$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.8 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA | 67c | 4,025$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.5 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed TheMongolz | 33c | 3,552$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed TheMongolz | 32c | 3,197$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.89 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked FURIA | 69c | 3,043$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.48 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…cb7abacked TheMongolz | 33c | 3,003$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked FURIA | 67c | 2,937$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 2c | 2,281$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed FURIA | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 14c | 2,015$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 31c | 2,007$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.25 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 66c | 2,000$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.73 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed TheMongolz | 21c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed TheMongolz | 11c | 1,854$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed TheMongolz | 8c | 1,816$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FURIA | 68c | 1,725$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.29 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,700$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed TheMongolz | 23c | 1,664$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.51 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 1,589$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.42 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 18c | 1,501$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 33c | 1,481$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.52 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed FURIA | 75c | 1,479$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 17c | 1,464$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed FURIA | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked FURIA | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…8d39backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,400$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,350$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,333$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed FURIA | 68c | 1,324$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.68 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked FURIA | 73c | 1,314$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed TheMongolz | 34c | 1,218$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz | 34c | 1,200$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked FURIA | 66c | 1,190$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.59 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,109$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.73 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed FURIA | 69c | 1,107$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 19c | 1,028$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TheMongolz | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 997.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TheMongolz | 11c | 961.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed TheMongolz | 32c | 929.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed FURIA | 69c | 863.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.16 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked FURIA | 69c | 783.69$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 31c | 776.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked TheMongolz | 33c | 776.45$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed TheMongolz | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed FURIA | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed FURIA | 75c | 696.78$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked TheMongolz | 22c | 667.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FURIA | 68c | 665.83$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed FURIA | 68c | 642$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.02 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed TheMongolz | 34c | 632.35$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed FURIA | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed FURIA | 68c | 587$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed FURIA | 69c | 536.91$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA | 69c | 483$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed TheMongolz | 4c | 456.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed TheMongolz | 34c | 443.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed TheMongolz | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 32c | 411$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked TheMongolz | 21c | 383.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed TheMongolz | 31c | 379.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed FURIA | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed TheMongolz | 32c | 343.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…3ef6backed FURIA | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed TheMongolz | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed TheMongolz | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed TheMongolz | 33c | 299$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed FURIA | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked TheMongolz | 7c | 283.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed FURIA | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed TheMongolz | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TheMongolz | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed FURIA | 68c | 210.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz | 8c | 200.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed TheMongolz | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.