TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9975…e7e6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,851Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+34.7%+$989.02
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+86.6%+$519.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,010.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,462Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+95%+$1,389.24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+48.8%+$97.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$235.71
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+39.3%+$462.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+32.5%+$362.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$249.48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Heroic (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+50%+$175.05
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+66.3%+$622.13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+27.7%+$83.06
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$154.17
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96.26
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$123.22
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.94
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$575.41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$900
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$785.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,512.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$706.61
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.8%+$297.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+50.8%+$747.05
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$151.73
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$437.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Panthers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,300
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.4%+$578.43
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$123.53
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$72.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick54cpaid-81.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+89%+$25.9
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$367.62
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$276.76
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$138.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.7%+$123.39
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$351.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.