Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1abbb06e733d180699c50a1e61686baf80aaa91f7a0ab5d225cca407107ff45a

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Falconsof OG, Team Falcons
Resolved: Dec 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $125,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,746 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x06c0…e618backed Team Falcons	63c	35,520$22,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,142.26	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked OG	37c	14,415$5,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,309.33	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed OG	37c	8,113$3,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,001.92	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed OG	37c	8,000$2,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,960	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed OG	36c	6,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.98	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed OG	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.96	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked OG	6c	4,752$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.33	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed OG	37c	4,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked OG	32c	3,579$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.26	201	59.7%120 W · 81 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed OG	24c	3,000$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.32	206	42.2%87 W · 119 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons	64c	2,849$1,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.53	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed OG	37c	2,814$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.18	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Team Falcons	67c	2,137$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.52	122	56.6%69 W · 53 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked OG	36c	2,097$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.02	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG	15c	1,816$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.97	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Falcons	64c	1,747$1,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.92	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked OG	22c	1,736$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.64	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd23d…f322backed Team Falcons	80c	1,716$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.54	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed OG	19c	1,706$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.24	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Falcons	80c	1,537$1,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.79	180	75%135 W · 45 L	+18.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG	16c	1,492$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.71	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons	69c	1,458$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.6	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons	73c	1,288$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.67	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons	64c	1,094$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.75	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8664…9981backed Team Falcons	64c	1,063$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.7	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG	36c	999.99$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Falcons	64c	953.13$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.13	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked OG	7c	933.83$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG	18c	913.79$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.54	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Team Falcons	65c	909.23$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed OG	36c	905.38$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.78	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons	67c	814.75$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.56	581	52.5%305 W · 276 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG	29c	799.99$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Team Falcons	64c	742.66$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.36	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed OG	10c	698.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	124	59.7%74 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed OG	34c	598.65$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.54	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Falcons	66c	598.65$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.54	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked OG	33c	597.73$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.25	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a5…a523backed OG	37c	591.61$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed OG	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked OG	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b3…f676backed OG	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Falcons	72c	520.18$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.66	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Falcons	66c	479.8$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.8	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Team Falcons	64c	468.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.75	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Team Falcons	64c	460$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.96	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Falcons	66c	456.86$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.33	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked OG	27c	414.26$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.62	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-14.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe1be…dc41backed OG	17c	400$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG	16c	393.02$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.67	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Team Falcons	64c	388.84$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.84	95	44.2%42 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Team Falcons	66c	380.08$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.08	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed OG	17c	373.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.78	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked OG	25c	327.14$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.34	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Team Falcons	64c	312.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons	61c	309.98$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.69	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed OG	37c	309.95$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.68	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…d549backed OG	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed OG	35c	300.38$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.13	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed OG	36c	300$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed OG	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked OG	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Team Falcons	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed Team Falcons	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfefa…c212backed OG	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed OG	37c	291.89$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Team Falcons	69c	290.77$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.77	61	75.4%46 W · 15 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd55…fc45backed OG	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed OG	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	42.8%74 W · 99 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2c…6962backed OG	35c	268.71$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons	62c	252.79$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.54	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked OG	37c	243.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked OG	37c	235$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.95	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons	64c	232.34$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.64	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad4…721fbacked OG	37c	230$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.4	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked OG	37c	228.04$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.37	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked OG	37c	211.63$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.3	132	38.6%51 W · 81 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce7…cc16backed OG	26c	210$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a8…2db7backed OG	35c	210$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	56	75%42 W · 14 L	+8.3wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+24%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed OG	36c	200$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.74	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked OG	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Team Falcons	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked OG	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…b7a6backed OG	35c	196.73$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad91…389cbacked OG	12c	191.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked OG	15c	190.96$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.84	328	6.4%21 W · 307 L	-102.4wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed OG	30c	190$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked OG	17c	180.69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.55	702	36.6%257 W · 445 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b00…7cbbbacked OG	35c	175.41$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.59	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x728a…df69backed OG	37c	174.86$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.7	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons	62c	169.55$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.43	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OG	37c	160$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Team Falcons	66c	151.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.64	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bf…1744backed Team Falcons	67c	151.32$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7b…e363backed OG	34c	151.32$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked OG	7c	150$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd8…4622backed Team Falcons	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…e0e0backed OG	36c	150$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)this page
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event