TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6c9…975e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,815
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 61 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT35819%68 W · 290 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 358 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,468.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,382.83
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,366.87
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11,287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,286.6
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,077.81
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,972.72
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.03
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.49
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.84
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.72
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.53
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,281.54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.01
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.28
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.63
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,498.39
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.07
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,241.96
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,038.34
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.48
Showing 25 of 358 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST21022.4%47 W · 163 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 210 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$119.32
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$365.16
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$544.52
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96.45
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+248.8%+$1,333.24
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+268.8%+$202.12
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$64.59
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$381.36
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,026.67
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,727Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,726.94
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28.23
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.99
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+214.4%+$77.39
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,321.94
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,078.44
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.66
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$487.67
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+217.1%+$2,388.66
Will any Senators vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$63.41
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$769.59
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,693.31
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14,624.85
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,729.61
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+202.8%+$626.08
Showing 25 of 210 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT16612.7%21 W · 145 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.65
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,893.28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,348.85
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,348.66
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$161.07
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,577.86
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$470.01
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,168.79
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+531.6%+$3,750.43
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37.43
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.1
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,044.01
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,871.58
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,549.12
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.98
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$122.27
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+410.1%+$162.66
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+379.1%+$198.87
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$65.31
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$370.89
Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$93.1
Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$298.79
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$142.32
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT15313.1%20 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+409.4%+$2,083.38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.95
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$455.43
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$618.99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$603.51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.06
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$809.23
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$673.54
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$687.86
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.83
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.85
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.75
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,064.18
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$848.38
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.66
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+280.4%+$1,409.49
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.89
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.89
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$334.23
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,378.7
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$447.85
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+245.4%+$785.13
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.99
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST13525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 135 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+196.9%+$559.22
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$639.24
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+196.3%+$101.79
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.02
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$391.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+105.9%+$84.45
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$422.44
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.89
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84.86
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.44
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.74
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.75
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.61
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+238.5%+$46.32
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.63
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+103.3%+$51.32
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$123.19
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$36.85
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64.51
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Bulldog Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$41.15
Game Handicap: NBS (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)backed BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
LoL: S2G Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.66
Showing 25 of 135 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST8725.3%22 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$271.24
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$259.88
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.82
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$386.77
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$42.75
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.07
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78.44
Will Donald Trump say "suit" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.34
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$97.39
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98.67
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$126.66
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" or "boat" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$109.94
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+134.6%+$33.06
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$83.77
Will Donald Trump say "card" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$71.51
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$85.88
Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$110.99
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$229.63
Will Donald Trump say "two weeks" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+347.7%+$203.76
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$191.61
Will Donald Trump say "referendum" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+264.1%+$319.89
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+219.6%+$199.39
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$252.64
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$499.79
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST8626.7%23 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$521.03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+136.7%+$523.36
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$686.98
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+254%+$1,868.26
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.05
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+111.3%+$38.86
Will Powell say "Weakening" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+206.9%+$62.02
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+267.2%+$81.47
Will Powell say "Dissenter" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.71
Will Powell say "Probability" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$137.9
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$66.17
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$127.1
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.45
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$61.76
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$123.79
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+223.3%+$96.63
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+107.4%+$21.03
Will Powell say "Projection" 5+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43.49
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.81
Will Powell say "Unchanged" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+227.1%+$155.5
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51.72
Will Powell say "Layoffs" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.67
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST8411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$111.62
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$191.88
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62.54
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$31.1
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$77.64
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18.99
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$206.32
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$239.52
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$203.05
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$294.07
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$198.48
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$184.29
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$57.35
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$68.79
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$156.54
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$172.54
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$73.38
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$183.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$73.97
Dota 2: OG vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60.05
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$201.6
Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$164.14
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$121.34
Dota 2: Heroic vs Yakult Brothers (BO1)backed Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$171.22
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT7219.4%14 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.93
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$587.56
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$734.55
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$741.27
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+153.5%+$702.27
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$609.44
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+351.5%+$65.1
Will Jensen Huang say "Gemini" or "Perplexity" 4+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+199.5%+$37.8
Will Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.31
Will Jensen Huang say "Taiwan" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+119.8%+$11.99
Will Jensen Huang say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.01
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+224.4%+$119.22
Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+369.1%+$51.98
Will Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will Jensen Huang say "Happy New Year" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,587.64
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$280.15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$500.11
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$536.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$172.47
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$211.28
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$334.92
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,275.54
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28.91
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.3%6 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.21
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.53
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.16
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.38
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.6
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.15
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+375%+$284.32
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$219.85
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.5%+$304.16
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+139.1%+$79.61
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65.78
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150.4%+$832.98
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$205.63
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$926.01
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$506.03
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$327.36
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$464.73
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$235.98
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60.7
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$206.61
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$214.72
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,824.57
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT6222.6%14 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.91
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+154.7%+$84.87
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.37
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.72
Will "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$36.07
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.88
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+175.5%+$103.74
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.35
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
Will "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.48
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+419.5%+$746.27
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Will "Netflix" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+162.4%+$70.57
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,225.8
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$120.36
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$678.66
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+272.8%+$83.46
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+163.3%+$31.23
Will "Minnesota" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.56
Will "Acceptance Speech" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+171.8%+$17.62
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$328.39
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.38
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$370.21
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.65
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,318.83
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$691.06
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+225.4%+$29.98
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+134.9%+$23.01
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$71.91
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142.47
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$105.58
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+146%+$846.27
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.35
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,192.69
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$294.32
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,728.79
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,121.56
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+591.5%+$132.16
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+393.9%+$214.83
Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+194.9%+$22.37
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.67
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+174.4%+$30.51
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3026.7%8 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$72.71
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$677.66
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+158.5%+$347.24
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$508.62
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.54
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$370.65
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.47
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$100.56
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+215.5%+$160.57
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,388.14
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,344.19
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+329.6%+$7,037.83
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.59
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.93
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.79
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,487Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,486.82
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,599.48
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.83
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$363.38
Will 'BRAT' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$126.35
Will 'The Tortured Poets Department' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$89.76
Will 'Short n' Sweet' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.94
Will 'The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$67.95
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+299.5%+$739.62
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+169.7%+$67.9
Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+255.6%+$271.47
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+444.6%+$156.45
Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.48
Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.32
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+119.2%+$37.88
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$127.37
Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.7
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$529.31
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$656.27
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,254.24
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+137.9%+$463.79
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+296.6%+$1,522.42
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+279.4%+$1,320.8
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+587.5%+$2,153.32
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$267.44
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$567.5
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+851.8%+$4,849.64
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$325.97
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$382.55
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$487.39
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$743.81
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,292.7
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.22
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$230.32
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$225.4
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,402.89
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,280.39
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$90.04
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.15
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48.06
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65.51
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.57
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+253.8%+$338.37
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.44
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$32.17
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$129.69
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$41.98
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+292.3%+$63.84
Will George Russell win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will Sergio Perez win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.55
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Lando Norris win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$55.22
Will Charles Leclerc win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.82
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$344.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+157.8%+$246.36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$266.63
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+188.2%+$915.41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$108.69
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$157.21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38.43
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$282.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$261.09
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$348.6
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$494.78
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$24.36
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$98.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO1)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+337.5%+$548.58
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+224.2%+$292.42
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$142.68
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs M80 (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$140.38
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs RED Canids (BO1)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$90.71
Counter-Strike: B8 vs The Huns Esports (BO1)backed The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$225.58
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Rare Atom (BO1)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$297.37
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$93.41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+112.9%+$75.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.77
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2025, EDT248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 68-69°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 66-67°F on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 70-71°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 72°F or higher on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.91
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 66-67°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 64-65°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 61°F or below on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.33
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 32-33°F on February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.61
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 44-45°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$81.95
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+227.1%+$164.49
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 46°F or higher on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.55
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.85
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.66
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 42-43°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+125.3%+$51.52
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.08
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,850.52
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$592.8
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$453.88
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$177.68
2024 September hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$689.04
2024 August hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$156.53
All 24 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+58%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.71
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+118.2%+$60.13
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+369.1%+$346.12
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+299.1%+$173.48
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+204.5%+$47.28
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.3
Will Trump say "Russia" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+171.8%+$132.96
Will Trump say "Modi" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.16
Will Trump say "Chip" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.76
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+135.1%+$39.07
Will Trump say "Fair relationship" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.02
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+142.4%+$148.14
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+213.7%+$187.33
Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+184.2%+$71.86
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.47
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.18
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.86
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.38
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+416.2%+$1,113.06
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$34.56
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-81.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.19
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,047.76
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$860.29
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+301.4%+$4,683.45
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.71
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$9,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$9,658.38
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$8,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$8,217.93
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.62
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.94
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$533.95
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120.03
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$550.36
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$73.31
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$744.85
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$292.84
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$111.14
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$16.65
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$85.38
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$169.36
All 22 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$155.46
Will Usyk vs. Fury have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$35.62
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$234.12
Will the fight end in Round 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$55.27
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+139.7%+$1,669.37
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$1,340.87
Will the fight end in Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$77
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$101.7
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$941.9
Will the fight end in Round 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will the fight end in the Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$16.36
Will the fight end in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$96.16
Will the fight end in Round 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$57.07
Will the fight end in Round 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$90
Will Mike Tyson knockout Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$1,429.67
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$156.73
Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$2,774.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT170%0 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,546.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,009.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,138.47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,918.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$7,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,172
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,355.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,061.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,251.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,907.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,647.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,517.21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,854.67
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,599.34
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$7,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,270.21
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$333.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.71
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+393.1%+$287.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+227.4%+$143.07
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+166.8%+$37.54
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.21
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+195.9%+$70.57
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.58
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$95.36
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.39
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$247.72
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,207
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+44.8%+$207.39
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$2.86
Will Manchester United beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$110.03
Will Manchester United vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$133.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea beat PSG?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.57
Will Chelsea vs. PSG draw 0-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.32
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.19
Will PSG win 3-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.37
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.04
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$98.17
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.07
Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$21.25
Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$54.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,223.85
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+210.2%+$681.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$165.49
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$3,156.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Park vs. Aliskerovbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.86
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$81.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,687.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.