F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ee8594c7584c9892c482d6c75cb1f57d6ac248405b9447f727751200d7efd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 1,540$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.23 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…569abacked Yes | 24c | 1,209$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…19b1backed Yes | 23c | 1,182$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 31c | 935$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 833.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 76c | 644.74$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6ba6backed Yes | 37c | 536.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 32c | 487.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 76c | 465.13$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 406.49$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 17c | 367.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 30c | 354.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 33c | 339.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 292.18$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…de79backed Yes | 29c | 280.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 33c | 279.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 65c | 243.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 229.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 33c | 186.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked No | 65c | 151.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed No | 76c | 113.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 15c | 109.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ec…2b21backed Yes | 25c | 102.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…564ebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 32c | 80.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b594backed Yes | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 34c | 75.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…01ccbacked Yes | 32c | 71.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…dc9bbacked Yes | 35c | 69.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Yes | 32c | 62.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 76c | 58.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed No | 80c | 50.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…b535backed Yes | 35c | 48.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 65c | 48.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked No | 78c | 47.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…d9cfbacked No | 67c | 44.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…c00dbacked No | 67c | 41.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…b48abacked No | 68c | 30.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…902ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 66c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?Yes won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.