TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x805a…0635backed No0c12,029$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9315932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes26c1,900$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5412523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2cd…d392backed Yes15c1,515$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.56520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes2c1,314$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.1920843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes24c1,177$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.132080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes17c1,094$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.55329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed No72c1,067$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.221442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes13c614.53$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.732520%5 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes28c471.69$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.37277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-72.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes3c459.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.042623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3046225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes63c377.85$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.452951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes24c312.47$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes27c290.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.152568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked Yes33c278.05$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+198.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes23c277$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.054827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes29c270$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+239%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed No73c250$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked No51c220.83$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.62450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1643633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7b76backed No77c171.35$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes25c171.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.831816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b0…f9a8backed No76c169.39$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc20b…2cc0backed No75c160.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes26c150$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No74c141.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.791464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb92…e8fabacked No74c140$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes29c130.61$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.897733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…48f0backed Yes25c125$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.68633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc68…47bdbacked No72c119.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes24c114.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…edbdbacked Yes31c104.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.28742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb06…72b6backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…5f67backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a8…8beebacked Yes23c97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+329.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0647…8f61backed Yes26c95.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c92.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2512353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26a6…8d6ebacked Yes29c82.04$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.04520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed Yes25c77.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.856845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd99…df91backed Yes26c77.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e5…031dbacked Yes26c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f63…7fc7backed Yes26c71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa0…4be5backed Yes25c68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick25cpaid+308.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes24c64.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4214356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ad5…1120backed Yes26c63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…6d1abacked Yes23c63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+329.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7543…f11dbacked No76c60.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-56.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40aa…af2bbacked Yes26c59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6896…6871backed Yes24c57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3447…91c0backed Yes26c57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ba…47a5backed Yes24c56.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+321.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f63…d0e4backed Yes26c55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afa…43dabacked Yes23c53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+329.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed5…0a62backed Yes26c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe7…54f5backed Yes24c51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No77c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b15…569abacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.261560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb629…f03cbacked No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a92…ca9cbacked Yes27c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.531030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x818c…a650backed Yes24c49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+311.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9095…9023backed Yes24c49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d9b…0cdebacked Yes26c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20b…0690backed Yes24c48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+321.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes26c45.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ce7fbacked Yes23c43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+329.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb2…b16bbacked Yes26c41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe30f…6e9dbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…dcc7backed Yes25c40.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5795…c979backed No74c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff4f…9ef1backed No79c39.45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb26…adcfbacked No77c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8d…5752backed No77c33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…b594backed Yes58c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.961241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…639bbacked No77c32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae3…9111backed No74c31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93aa…9531backed No76c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5933…a3e3backed No74c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83f2…f60ebacked No74c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe841…8c2cbacked No78c25.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd2…0c24backed No74c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21b…333fbacked No77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bea…2e26backed No74c23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1278…eacbbacked No74c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a1…1b9ebacked No77c22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9867…1eebbacked No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd5…7463backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4423…eae9backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…5fd6backed No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d0…140fbacked No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d0…d0e9backed No74c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaf…719fbacked No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb966…70c9backed No74c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72d…ee8dbacked No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…6435backed No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4407…15b5backed No74c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cae…cb92backed No74c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca2…c5babacked No74c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d8…6877backed No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a4…4c08backed No77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…c64bbacked No76c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.