TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb410…7736

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
602
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.13
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,542.78
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,057.25
Will Adidas be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.68
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,238.3%+$279.78
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.49
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.39
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$126
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$611.28
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+79%+$89.08
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+99.5%+$1,518.44
Will Yan Diomande win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$28.12
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$203.51
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$56.52
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.47
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$24
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.24
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$120.11
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$147
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+304.8%+$168.89
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$225.36
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$539.94
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$168.78
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$123.8
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$389.92
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10244.1%45 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$7.85
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$80.12
Will "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$6.95
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.53
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.92
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.91
Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.54
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.53
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$26.08
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+151%+$197.31
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.13
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$151.02
Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Will "Zootropolis 2" win Best Animated Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will "Marty Supreme" win Best Casting at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.1%+$100.38
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+316.7%+$159.6
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.52
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.4%+$19.29
Will Dwayne Johnson be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62.14
Will Gwyneth Paltrow be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150.91
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$41.01
Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.47
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT7850%39 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Linda Noskova advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+870.9%+$224.7
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.7
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.95
Will Karolina Muchova advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.3
Will Jessica Pegula advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$8.12
Will Ashlyn Krueger advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Will Belinda Bencic advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$123.68
Will Coco Gauff advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+180%+$32.56
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.96
Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.02
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+131.4%+$53.37
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$85.2
Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Final in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$128.6
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.79
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.95
Will Mirra Andreeva advance to the Quarterfinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$88.44
Will Mirra Andreeva advance to the Semifinals in Ladies' Singles at Wimbledon 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$182.65
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wangbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.33
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.2
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT7345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be 150 points or greater?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+2,506.2%+$259.64
Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 100 and 124 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.28
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$297.26
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,695.36
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,678Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$809.54
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$641.11
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.34
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.1
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.34
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.21
Will Grete Paia win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.4%+$10.75
Will Clicherik & Mäx win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.7%+$13.76
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43.6%+$107.69
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.21
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+239.8%+$2,935.64
Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.7%+$70.1
Will "Snipe Hunter - Tyler Childers" win Best Contemporary Country Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.6%+$29.27
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$22.04
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.6
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$98.21
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.42
Will a team from Spain be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$127.68
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+566.7%+$109.65
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.74
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$66.29
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.1%+$67.64
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+116.2%+$71.12
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$17
Will Fabián Ruiz win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$6
Will a club from England win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+305.4%+$37.71
Will Fabián Ruiz be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$41.19
Will Kylian Mbappé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will Marcos Leonardo be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$21.15
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+26%+$45.43
Will Harry Kane score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will a club from Asia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.52
Will a club from Saudi Arabia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.27
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.19
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.27
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$41.91
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43.4
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.42
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.82
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$261.72
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.88
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.06
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.57
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 62-64%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+317.3%+$4,437.04
Will Dan win all the Bucharest sectors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.16
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.68
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+210.6%+$753.26
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+224%+$5,036.54
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+141.3%+$1,056.07
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+111.9%+$1,283.99
Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$92.4
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$94.96
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$33.8
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Nurmagomedov vs. Hughesbacked Hughes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.3
UFC Fight Night: Imavov and Jones backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.93
UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$424.35
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$357.21
UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. Duncanbacked Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.33
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.76
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.44
UFC Fight Night Parlay: Buckley and Namajunas backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$15.5
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$223.36
Will Magomed Ankalaev win win by KO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$16.55
Will Alex Pereira win by KO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18
Will Rafael Fiziev win by KO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.5
Allen vs. Hernandezbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66.48
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$131.7
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Suarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Tafa vs. Teixeirabacked Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+174.3%+$131.73
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+191%+$46.43
Nurmagomedov vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+203%+$34
Makhachev vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.09
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$143.42
Ponzinibbio vs. Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ozuna perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+34.6%+$8.92
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.1%+$12.9
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.1%+$55.23
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.46
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40.88
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$42.45
Will the Jets draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.5
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$31.15
Will 3 QBs get taken in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will the Steelers draft a QB in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted by the Bears?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+74.9%+$32.46
Will Abdul Carter be the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$10
Will Travis Hunter be the second pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.92
Will Ashton Jeanty get drafted top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+223.4%+$151.76
Will the Browns draft Travis Hunter in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$29.43
Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+90.9%+$195.2
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 5 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Schoolboy Q perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+30.2%+$46.31
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+32.6%+$78.23
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.03
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+119.4%+$275.13
All 23 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
F1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.35
Will Lando Norris achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$129
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$112.32
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.91
F1 Belgian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$25
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.33
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Sprint Race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Leclerc vs. Russellbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+141.9%+$266.32
Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$59
Verstappen vs. Piastribacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$39
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$57
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$77.51
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italy GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$171.91
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+322%+$898.13
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$285.62
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$335.81
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$380.01
Europa League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$1,552.79
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)backed Man United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$71.03
UEFA Europa League: Athletic Club vs. Rangers (To Advance)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.47
Fenerbahce vs. Rangers, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.49
AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham Hotspur, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed AZ Alkmaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.78
FCSB vs. Lyon, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Lyon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$117.35
Bodo Glimt vs. Olympiakos, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Olympiakos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.15
AS Roma vs. Atlhletic Bilbao, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.36
Ajax vs. Frankfurt, who advance in the UEFA Europa League matchup?backed Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+87.7%+$53.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$425.57
Will the Celtics beat the Knicks 4-2backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+104.3%+$576.8
Will the Pacers beat the Bucks 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$439
Will the Thunder beat the Grizzlies 4-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.87
Will Team Chuck win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$24.83
Will Team Shaq win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$54.99
Will Mac McClung win the 2025 NBA Slam Dunk Contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Will Damian Lillard win the 2025 NBA 3-Point Contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+28.9%+$30.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Champions Trophy Final: India vs. New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.