Olympics · resolved market
Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84280132f53ee184052d00f31fb5db56ec6ed53792573a3a491f4965d598581d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 62c | 4,983$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.52 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 34c | 2,756$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 68c | 2,006$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.62 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 36c | 1,988$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.39 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked No | 60c | 1,795$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.27 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 39c | 955.71$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 54c | 898$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.57 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 48c | 850.04$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 54c | 723.9$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 36c | 659.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.6 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 36c | 586.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.43 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 38c | 561.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked No | 63c | 429.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 391.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.37 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Yes | 75c | 334.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…38c0backed No | 57c | 311$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…f505backed Yes | 70c | 302.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed No | 43c | 293.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 282.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 32c | 212.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 46c | 208.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Yes | 14c | 199.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 62c | 197$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 50c | 197$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…8ce0backed No | 11c | 188.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 13c | 165$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 50c | 164.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed No | 37c | 133.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…b2b9backed Yes | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 44c | 117.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…380cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 67c | 93.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 51c | 89.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 49c | 89.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed No | 37c | 89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 48c | 83.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 64c | 79.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…288bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…861cbacked Yes | 48c | 60.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf278…c2f1backed Yes | 60c | 59.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…019ebacked Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…ce76backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 56c | 42.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 42.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed No | 35c | 40.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Yes | 65c | 40.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0ae6backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…9a39backed No | 32c | 36.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 36c | 29.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…e70bbacked Yes | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 42c | 27.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…7e37backed Yes | 66c | 22.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 56c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…e4bbbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…d2c9backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…14d2backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Gaon Choi (KOR) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Maddie Mastro (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Queralt Castellet Ibanez (ESP) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Rize Kudo (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sara Shimizu (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sena Tomita (JPN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.