TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64ee…26ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
241
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT7553.3%40 W · 35 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.69
LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.74
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.15
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$30.27
LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winnerbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
LoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winnerbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$41.59
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+84.9%+$26.15
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$176.15
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27%+$29.4
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$73.6
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+79.6%+$13.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.3%+$11.9
LoL: DOCISK vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (BO1) - Rift Legends Group Stagebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.1%+$48
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.56
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.2
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT4746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Virgin Galactic (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.85
Will American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.53
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.33
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.85
Will Trade Desk (TTD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$117.5
Will Lowe's (LOW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+175.4%+$20.9
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Moderna (MRNA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78.89
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+266.5%+$388.69
Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31%+$7.1
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$39.1
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.9%+$12.07
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.81
Will The Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$74.09
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.3%+$13.61
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+157.3%+$17.73
Will USA Rare Earth (USAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.65
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.9
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$9.69
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs WW Team (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$10.57
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+84%+$31.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$11.36
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$52.46
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MOUZ NXT (BO5) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$44.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$12.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+131.4%+$46.12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+74.2%+$17.81
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$151.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.7%+$32.87
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.81
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+55.8%+$12.89
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.7%+$29.9
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$57.6
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+43.1%+$6.02
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$88.11
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+192.5%+$38.51
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29.59
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.9%+$6.48
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$527.52
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+76.4%+$15.82
49ers vs. Saintsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT+54.9%+$11.08
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LVIII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+83.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.3%+$52.65
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$216
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.69
Vegas Golden Knights win the 2024 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nik Airball win at Hustler Casino on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.09
Will Joe Serock win the WSOP main event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-4.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$19.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$22.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$6.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$103.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$158.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.