Earnings · resolved market
Will Wendy's (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3620a965a1ebe5213d1aa3d5b000f82c7de79a042251ed250f88b6282aa519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3847…df89backed Yes | 71c | 421.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 33c | 300.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 65c | 298.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 27c | 253.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 27c | 241.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 31c | 222.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 77c | 169.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 23c | 159.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…3170backed Yes | 63c | 159.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 158.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 36c | 139.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 37c | 125.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 316 | 29.4%93 W · 223 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…9577backed Yes | 74c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Yes | 61c | 105.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 28c | 96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 62c | 94.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 348 | 36.8%128 W · 220 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 37c | 81.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a7c1backed Yes | 67c | 77.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 35c | 71.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 70.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 25c | 66.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked No | 32c | 63.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…be5dbacked No | 35c | 61.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…775cbacked No | 33c | 60.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 75c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1d31backed No | 30c | 52.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked No | 38c | 52.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…3f02backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…0da1backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…4a23backed No | 45c | 38.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed No | 50c | 32.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…ece9backed Yes | 70c | 29.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…918dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes | 64c | 23.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 68c | 21.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…4323backed Yes | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…21ddbacked Yes | 74c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…6fd3backed Yes | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…c968backed Yes | 68c | 16.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…89d1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 73c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.