TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06e7…87c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT6339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Marketaxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.11
Will Penske Automotive Group (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.25
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+564.4%+$129.12
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.09
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.05
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.16
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+383.2%+$191.6
Will Lululemon Athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+300.4%+$150.21
Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.56
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$8.61
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Brighton win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+25.2%+$25.16
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+86.5%+$43.26
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.65
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.23
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.4%+$13.92
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.3%+$96.27
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.