CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b912591f3ece8348f0b8e1af26f823b7cecb50119224c5e2a3dcb03bbe37456

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: G2of G2, Heroic
Resolved: Feb 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $230,602
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $234,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,602 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked G2	50c	200,000$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100,000	392	49%192 W · 200 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Heroic	50c	199,531$99,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,765.44	210	51%107 W · 103 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked G2	51c	6,500$3,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,184.99	285	38.2%109 W · 176 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed G2	49c	5,676$2,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,871.93	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Heroic	50c	4,633$2,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,316.73	79	40.5%32 W · 47 L	-7.3wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked G2	48c	3,585$1,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,864.36	358	50.8%182 W · 176 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Heroic	49c	3,155$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.89	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Heroic	49c	2,965$1,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,453	239	52.3%125 W · 114 L	+14.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Heroic	52c	2,750$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430	352	36.4%128 W · 224 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic	48c	2,507$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.46	1,089	50.9%554 W · 535 L	+38.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Heroic	52c	1,941$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.69	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed G2	50c	1,650$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.3	279	50.2%140 W · 139 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2	48c	1,209$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.42	1,723	46.8%807 W · 916 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	5,095	55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L	+119.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9619…f503backed Heroic	49c	906$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Heroic	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	105	38.1%40 W · 65 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Heroic	51c	799.98$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.99	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Heroic	49c	784.53$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.42	720	46.1%332 W · 388 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed G2	52c	769.23$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.23	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed G2	52c	700$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked G2	52c	673.08$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.08	183	36.6%67 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked G2	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.1	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed G2	50c	509.75$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.53	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked G2	50c	400.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.62	135	40.7%55 W · 80 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Heroic	57c	389.88$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.84	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked G2	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	420	50%210 W · 210 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…377cbacked Heroic	52c	288.67$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked G2	51c	206.44$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.44	618	54.9%339 W · 279 L	-18.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Heroic	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked G2	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed G2	49c	199.99$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed G2	51c	199.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	420	57.6%242 W · 178 L	+19.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Heroic	55c	199.56$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	166	44.6%74 W · 92 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Heroic	54c	185.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	240	55.8%134 W · 106 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Heroic	52c	170.25$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.44	459	56.9%261 W · 198 L	+20.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Heroic	49c	164.38$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.55	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed G2	49c	161.55$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.79	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Heroic	54c	118.59$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Heroic	51c	115.27$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.79	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed G2	49c	102.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.46	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed G2	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	235	57.4%135 W · 100 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Heroic	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Heroic	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed G2	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Heroic	51c	97.51$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-4.5wins	-0.32per pick	61cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e88…914dbacked Heroic	54c	91.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb989…7649backed Heroic	49c	91.49$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Heroic	52c	86.35$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.56	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x120e…990abacked G2	52c	67.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Heroic	54c	60.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.53	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked G2	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Heroic	53c	56.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed G2	46c	56.54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.53	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed G2	46c	51.52$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.82	526	49%258 W · 268 L	-27.8wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed G2	47c	49.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed Heroic	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	180	37.8%68 W · 112 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc76e…caa5backed G2	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	187	50.3%94 W · 93 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bb…474dbacked Heroic	50c	39.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Heroic	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7325…0574backed G2	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f47…6cf8backed G2	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6690…f159backed G2	50c	35.08$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed G2	48c	30.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed G2	49c	30.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe9…0bbbbacked Heroic	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Heroic	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed G2	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Heroic	54c	27.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	159	58.5%93 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c53…a97bbacked Heroic	55c	27.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Heroic	57c	24.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked G2	50c	22.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked Heroic	54c	22.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked G2	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked G2	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Heroic	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageG2 won
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event