TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia win on 2025-09-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f2…0234backed No71c25,000$17,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,250933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes29c19,969$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.893638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c7,560$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.44,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes28c3,531$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.5724147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c2,155$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.113,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0015…d5b0backed Yes13c2,143$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,050$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.997060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No42c1,978$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.2330743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes76c1,671$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.2637039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No72c1,625$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4558961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes54c1,533$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.026544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No42c1,375$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.525872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes54c1,188$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.1540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No6c946.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes38c905$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6512251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04c7…af7fbacked Yes78c898.73$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes29c819.1$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.541936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…8dd9backed No46c756.6$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No72c693.74$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.254358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…3501backed Yes29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes56c674.52$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17414348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed No46c563.04$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.042740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c536$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No42c523.89$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.464330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No39c511.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No44c499.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9920…8f8ebacked No48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No45c377.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7811457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes57c296$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No71c290.44$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.239459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed No40c274.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.681181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No31c258.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.351560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No72c235.1$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.659560%57 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed No46c215.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773847.4%18 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.335451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No70c199.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9821355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed No72c194.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes58c181$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.932321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No34c144.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8617155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked No72c137.64$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.54580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Yes28c124.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b3…668cbacked Yes29c113.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes63c113$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6317744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes29c102.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.666142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89bd…8c00backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No72c97.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.225156.9%29 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516036.3%58 W · 102 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…06a9backed No72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes72c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4142…1853backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4414759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf196…7e01backed No72c66.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked No31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.527452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed No72c52.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No70c45.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked No43c39.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.547357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0848934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c5…94cfbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202560%15 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.236753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac7a…8a99backed No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b55…dfeebacked No72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3577…4bd5backed Yes78c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf937…6b43backed No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.255752.6%30 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No72c23.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.583461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Yes60c19.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.825046%23 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32b…522dbacked No72c17.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.863473.5%25 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3525551.4%131 W · 124 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.