TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf937…6b43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5761.4%35 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$88
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.1
Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$86.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$19.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$26.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+182.8%+$372.06
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$41
Will Real Madrid vs. Olympique Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.95
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$88.4
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.2
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$139.48
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$122.2
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+32%+$89.62
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$344.48
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$44.1
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT5752.6%30 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.84
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.75
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$1,982.3
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65.99
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+259.8%+$72.74
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$67.41
Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.2%+$18.2
Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$9.11
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$24.2
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+59.1%+$10.4
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$49.94
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70.43
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.2%+$77.56
Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.8%+$44.25
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+224.3%+$41.5
Will "Greenland 2: Migration" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$24.4
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.28
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$46.7
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+63.9%+$50.7
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.7%+$13.85
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$25.17
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$13.44
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.17
Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Will Mohamed Salah break the assists record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+41%+$380.9
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$5.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$6.27
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.83
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+52.5%+$62.41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.81
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$91.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+91.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$16.8
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+74.5%+$46.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+50.4%+$6.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win Intervision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.