La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76b360075e7e5e19dd71f135d2c7e19cb62daae8572181a7e5ac1f3895342ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 370.23$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 332.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…7302backed Yes | 61c | 162.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked No | 44c | 114.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 47c | 100.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Yes | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed No | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 39c | 50.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…5a0ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 61c | 40.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…df20backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 38c | 29.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.