TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x03bc…530c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
488
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT11153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.75
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$17.13
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$116.6
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.5
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT9446.8%44 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$26.18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$17.55
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.91
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT7651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+437.6%+$735.12
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$91.25
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.1%+$78.72
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$108.96
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$187.17
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.4
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Luis Diaz: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$159.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.24
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.79
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.95
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$165.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.99
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+271.7%+$149.46
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$33.97
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.16
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.33
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$198
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+158.3%+$27.44
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$11.26
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+274.2%+$39.76
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.2%+$44
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$61.49
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$233.2
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$94.29
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.55
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+253.5%+$266.76
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$231
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.5%+$155.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+71.1%+$57.35
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.9
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$50.05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of May 18 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$660
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$4.14
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.92
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$390
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-86.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.65
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.65
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$10.08
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+103.3%+$61.96
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$46.67
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1480+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$95
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.8
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+253.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Classic: Winnerbacked JR/Claire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.