Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd8fee7c09a57fa5010ef017f0198f1abf74b43a673948f5ebb38e1c4d8eaa32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 75c | 11,667$8,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 18c | 10,155$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 9c | 7,146$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 19c | 5,641$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.29 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 10c | 4,293$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.55 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 3,069$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.66 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 57c | 2,896$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.98 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,543$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,315$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.77 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Yes | 23c | 2,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 28c | 2,047$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.54 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…06a2backed Yes | 19c | 1,494$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 77c | 1,336$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…6ec2backed Yes | 9c | 1,077$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…47d7backed No | 73c | 1,021$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 72c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…3727backed Yes | 21c | 994.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 25c | 920.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked Yes | 65c | 918.71$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed No | 73c | 911.28$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked Yes | 20c | 800$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 30c | 730.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbe…fc51backed Yes | 3c | 691.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 20c | 615.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 4c | 551.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 27c | 545$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 529.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 3c | 509.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 19c | 491.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 17c | 431.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…ba9fbacked No | 79c | 419.5$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 414.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 405.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 39c | 400.56$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 72c | 387.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 22c | 384.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…eeecbacked Yes | 14c | 360$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…71c1backed Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…5e3dbacked Yes | 18c | 341.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 77c | 322.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…2fd2backed Yes | 16c | 309.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yes | 12c | 303.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…b14abacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…bda7backed No | 62c | 284.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +94%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…5378backed No | 78c | 256.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 67c | 256.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 21c | 231.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed No | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fd…f553backed Yes | 71c | 209.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 56c | 204.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked Yes | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked No | 38c | 168.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 166.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4810…d688backed No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…7500backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 34c | 138.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 138.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 9c | 133.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 75c | 130.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…95d0backed Yes | 13c | 112.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed Yes | 28c | 105.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 74c | 103.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…3291backed Yes | 15c | 101.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…4943backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…e924backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…d6ddbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 55c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Yes | 13c | 96.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…8badbacked Yes | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 20c | 88.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 87.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 80c | 85.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…ac39backed Yes | 70c | 85.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…0b0fbacked Yes | 78c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 74c | 75.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked No | 37c | 72.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 75c | 66.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a35…633abacked Yes | 19c | 65.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…c90bbacked No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…a93dbacked Yes | 78c | 56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked No | 76c | 53.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…e76cbacked Yes | 19c | 52.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905d…2c17backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +13.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?this page
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?No won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in June?Yes won
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.