TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbcc1…50db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT6639.4%26 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.75
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.25
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,033%+$524.25
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+296.8%+$37.4
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$98.35
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.57
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.97
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+376.2%+$79
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$106.35
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+106.5%+$56.72
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.5%+$7.45
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.29
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+557.9%+$74.44
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.7%+$12.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 January 26-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 5?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.72
Will Copper (HG) settle over $6.00 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+134.4%+$17.2
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.98
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30.76
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48.3%+$172.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.75
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Silver · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.01
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlandsbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Scotlandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.84
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roehampton: Iliyan Radulov vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.