Token Launches · resolved market
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7322f86a1e1f55b32d3a6a19245eef1fc767fe044e10481b9e62ae2f52082066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,140 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 17c | 10,200$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.24 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…2380backed No | 2c | 6,833$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…b3eebacked No | 22c | 5,289$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x925d…e1e9backed No | 12c | 5,000$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…0eacbacked No | 0c | 4,078$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 9c | 2,797$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 13c | 2,478$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 2,080$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 2,057$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed No | 10c | 1,845$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8c35backed No | 1c | 1,830$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 29c | 1,728$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…9689backed No | 21c | 1,722$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed No | 7c | 1,550$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…28d9backed No | 8c | 1,542$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 1,421$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 15c | 1,274$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 18c | 1,199$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.87 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 1,166$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 12c | 1,154$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…cbdfbacked No | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…e66fbacked No | 11c | 1,135$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 13c | 1,100$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 5c | 1,094$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…615abacked No | 15c | 1,089$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…013cbacked No | 28c | 1,087$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked No | 12c | 1,086$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,076$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 1,052$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…4bd3backed No | 45c | 1,007$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 4c | 981.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 2c | 974.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…a94abacked Yes | 55c | 954.6$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 24c | 948.65$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.43 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed No | 14c | 923.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 2c | 921.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 8c | 800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked No | 9c | 726.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…1cb8backed No | 14c | 714.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 75c | 679.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 2c | 611.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked No | 16c | 599.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 3c | 599.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 13c | 547.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 8c | 547.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…f0a0backed No | 12c | 485.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a97…df78backed No | 6c | 453.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…3d81backed No | 28c | 433.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…f0cabacked No | 4c | 425.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed Yes | 75c | 418.21$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…a5a7backed No | 17c | 411.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 402.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f885backed No | 13c | 391.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…4467backed Yes | 64c | 363.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes | 80c | 354.15$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 41c | 349.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 22c | 346$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 5c | 344.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…d5f6backed No | 23c | 329.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…d418backed No | 6c | 324.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 5c | 320$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked No | 7c | 313.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8040…8f84backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 76c | 292.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 274.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 73c | 262$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…b497backed Yes | 74c | 249.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 15c | 246.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…3a51backed No | 10c | 240.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 51c | 236.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…5c9bbacked No | 14c | 220$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed No | 7c | 218.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed No | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 78c | 190$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 27c | 183$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…584cbacked No | 11c | 175.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 26c | 173.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…d819backed No | 17c | 162.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 71c | 161.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 160.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked Yes | 52c | 152.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…aa19backed No | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 14c | 144.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 78c | 139$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…4f56backed No | 28c | 134.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +464.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…0c17backed No | 25c | 131.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 30c | 125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 23c | 116.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…7ecabacked No | 13c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 13c | 101.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…7f9cbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…8b36backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…03cabacked No | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Yes | 77c | 99.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 16c | 98.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…7d6abacked Yes | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?this page
- Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2025?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.