Token Launches · resolved market
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149b25b4f87bd5ec4af9478dd7649b8eaf53993cc079158dab556767bb73753b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81ab…fd92backed Yes | 9c | 8,770$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…3e78backed Yes | 63c | 6,331$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 4,109$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.16 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…d073backed Yes | 17c | 3,244$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…0d1cbacked Yes | 30c | 2,794$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6d…08edbacked Yes | 3c | 2,615$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 2,180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519e…9e6abacked Yes | 37c | 2,050$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,962$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed No | 52c | 1,953$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…3426backed Yes | 3c | 1,929$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…734cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,763$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ea…ee87backed Yes | 34c | 1,611$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…b230backed Yes | 66c | 1,576$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64af…a2debacked Yes | 69c | 1,470$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…0954backed No | 36c | 1,413$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x925d…e1e9backed No | 69c | 1,363$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…4a73backed No | 73c | 1,281$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…5941backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…4890backed Yes | 36c | 1,153$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed Yes | 26c | 1,136$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…72a9backed No | 31c | 1,117$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,070$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…60b3backed Yes | 80c | 1,018$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…709dbacked No | 38c | 1,016$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…30c9backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…14fdbacked No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 35c | 958.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…42f6backed Yes | 28c | 945.83$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…3d81backed No | 40c | 907.5$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 73c | 897.64$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…71b4backed No | 35c | 860.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 28c | 842.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.95 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 30c | 797.48$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed No | 38c | 779$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed No | 36c | 776.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.33 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…357dbacked No | 44c | 766$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Yes | 52c | 750.35$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 36c | 700.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…7d6abacked Yes | 60c | 675$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…228ebacked Yes | 37c | 658.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 636.72$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…deaebacked No | 67c | 630.73$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 10c | 605.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…b497backed Yes | 2c | 594.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…6225backed Yes | 2c | 585.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 29c | 547.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.38 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…3e36backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…0a4cbacked Yes | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…7401backed Yes | 70c | 496.83$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 3c | 496.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes | 28c | 489.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…d3aabacked No | 47c | 481.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 56c | 479$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.24 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…176ebacked No | 63c | 459.76$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…979fbacked No | 41c | 444$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 4c | 437.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eec…f4e2backed No | 20c | 420$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…5ec1backed No | 63c | 416.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…495cbacked Yes | 26c | 407.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed No | 25c | 400.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…34cabacked Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed No | 40c | 396.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3369…58e3backed Yes | 27c | 383.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…dc2bbacked No | 62c | 380.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…63ffbacked No | 36c | 375.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 363.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…e1b6backed Yes | 59c | 355.15$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f885backed No | 72c | 347.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 65c | 344.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.74 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 15c | 343.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…a012backed No | 70c | 333.31$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6f49backed Yes | 31c | 327.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 59c | 325.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…079abacked No | 22c | 324$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…e517backed No | 37c | 321.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 43c | 315.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf428…88f9backed No | 43c | 309$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…1e98backed No | 48c | 305.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…47eebacked Yes | 58c | 301.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Yes | 37c | 300.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…ff0ebacked No | 68c | 300.38$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 70cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…d4c9backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…e1e8backed No | 53c | 289.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…d4bdbacked Yes | 35c | 288.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 68c | 270$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 34c | 250.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…be19backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…fe94backed Yes | 68c | 243.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked No | 32c | 241.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ff…fe60backed Yes | 43c | 230.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 228.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed No | 77c | 220.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fe…95dabacked No | 39c | 208.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…f52fbacked No | 57c | 202.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?this page
- Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2025?No won
- Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.