TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72ea…800a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 55 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3915.4%6 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-45.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+141%+$111.14
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.2
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.7
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.58
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.81
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.9
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$290.22
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$950.99
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$447.48
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$306.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.42
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$399.77
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Solana reach $230 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Solana reach $200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Solana reach $220 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.89
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+358%+$48.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$282.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$22.3
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$736Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$735.76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,307.21
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$92.4
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.4
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$39.39
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+105.8%+$51.4
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+232.6%+$1,063.8
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+183.2%+$805.15
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$130
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$13.3
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$26.6
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+76.9%+$178.64
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.17
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$306
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+327.6%+$628.79
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,086.25
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+529.9%+$673
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?backed Labor Party · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+400%+$80
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$881Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$221.09
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$27.42
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.22
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.52
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+130.8%+$34
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.9
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+216.9%+$165.22
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$114.7
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.3%+$128.5
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$696.34
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.43
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.22
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$66.66
All 17 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.84
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.54
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.4
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$22
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.6
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will "Oil" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Will "Tariff" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will "China" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Jensen Huang say "Meta" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$21.32
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$33.8
Will Jensen Huang say "OpenAI" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37%+$54
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-80.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$140.49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$110.15
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$215.57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.75
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$244
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$454
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.87
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.2
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.16
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.83
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$15.13
Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$14.6
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.49
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will "Palestine" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will "Ballet" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.63
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+179.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$81.26
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$118.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+223.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+223.6%+$103.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$75.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs STATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.