Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2287aea551bc59597534e7fe531084005e4d531e418aaef260282f4c561c4514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 2,290$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 1,182$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.31 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 971.42$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.34 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 875.6$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 761.55$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 750$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 742.66$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 725.28$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 609.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 609.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked VP.Prodigy | 22c | 600.01$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked VP.Prodigy | 14c | 577.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed VP.Prodigy | 18c | 567$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 542.38$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 495.77$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 401.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked VP.Prodigy | 38c | 401.17$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 380.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 377.59$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed VP.Prodigy | 5c | 375.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 326$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed VP.Prodigy | 13c | 314.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 272.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 257.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed VP.Prodigy | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed VP.Prodigy | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 240.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed VP.Prodigy | 10c | 143.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 119.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 111.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 110.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed VP.Prodigy | 16c | 100.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 97.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked VP.Prodigy | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 95.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked VP.Prodigy | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 81.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 80.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…e392backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 78.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 76.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed VP.Prodigy | 14c | 71.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 69.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 58.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 56.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 53.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 49.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 43.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 39.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 38.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…07ecbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 18.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.