Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c032b93d4834111f3440e037b7abf716920c96ff6e71b7d38da37df6f7ea63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed VP.Prodigy | 0c | 8,742$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 2,098$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.7 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 24c | 1,343$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.66 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 1,156$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.42 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 916.52$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked VP.Prodigy | 22c | 608.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 480.74$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 439.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 398.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 378.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 283.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 241.28$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 27c | 178.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 172.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked VP.Prodigy | 7c | 143.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 136.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 24c | 118.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 101.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 90.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 81.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 19c | 75.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked VP.Prodigy | 17c | 73.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 42.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 37.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 37.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 29.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.