Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $230 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3683b3c8203e110838c9d2295681e14b5708f09cb6e3005585b569f299ec9590
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x901c…2d73backed Yes | 7c | 27,700$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 13,865$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd417…9194backed Yes | 1c | 7,625$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 5c | 7,610$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.7 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,601$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 11c | 4,474$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.81 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 3,300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,575$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.83 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,459$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,252$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 1,172$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 3c | 970.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 1c | 743$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 6c | 691.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 8c | 429.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…69b0backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 6c | 365.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…56a7backed Yes | 6c | 253.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 26c | 198.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4a…65dabacked Yes | 10c | 187.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…fc04backed No | 78c | 163.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 29c | 115.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 73c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…58e8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…1e99backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769e…6f79backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 74c | 49.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.