Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $150 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a7f2dfc1577dc4cd104f9fe7d92d74633e0505f8d0f642fa2a89ecfac7dee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0d7…4543backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…0ba4backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0287…bd03backed No | 0c | 6,431$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 70c | 3,274$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.67 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb32…b646backed Yes | 60c | 2,656$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.17 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,807$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 1,718$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 56c | 1,050$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…bcdcbacked No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 60c | 916.44$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 74c | 738.71$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…b8c6backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffb…3c0ebacked No | 66c | 455$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 61c | 449.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.49 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 40c | 355$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed No | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…57a6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 56c | 149.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…2d50backed No | 79c | 125.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 29c | 124.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 23c | 104.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…ba7fbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…81e0backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…7bb3backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 21c | 96.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 56c | 69.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160f…3539backed No | 73c | 62.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…c1a5backed No | 21c | 59.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 25c | 59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…169bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…2869backed No | 72c | 43.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…affdbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87f…8a2dbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…f44abacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…d8cabacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -4.1wins | -0.46per pick | 68cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.