Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9268579e42702d8ad8a514217374ae8da97728f02eccb9544b8bfac3bcf37f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $777,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $904,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 8c | 54,163$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.96 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 4c | 25,371$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…0ddfbacked Yes | 4c | 24,917$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.94 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…374ebacked Yes | 12c | 20,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 19,711$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.02 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc577…1f0bbacked Yes | 13c | 13,546$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 12,103$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.9 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 3c | 10,018$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 9,180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f8…4037backed Yes | 3c | 8,452$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…effebacked Yes | 5c | 6,700$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 11c | 6,656$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.23 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…e07cbacked Yes | 18c | 6,609$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 15c | 6,522$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 4c | 6,166$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 5c | 5,799$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 9c | 4,891$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.34 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +197.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…9b66backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…9c34backed Yes | 7c | 3,111$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…edb9backed Yes | 4c | 3,073$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…da0abacked Yes | 19c | 2,500$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…2918backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,262$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,253$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 6c | 2,233$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…a75cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,050$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…f655backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…4a81backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…b1f6backed Yes | 6c | 1,989$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,972$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…89b4backed Yes | 9c | 1,621$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,536$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 9c | 1,525$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…205abacked Yes | 4c | 1,438$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,411$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 5c | 1,395$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…4825backed Yes | 7c | 1,058$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 21c | 975.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 10c | 970.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 14c | 951.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Yes | 11c | 926.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…37f4backed Yes | 12c | 910.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…4fbcbacked Yes | 7c | 852$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 11c | 795.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3d…f1e6backed Yes | 9c | 780$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…2c4cbacked Yes | 8c | 692.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f60…4bd4backed Yes | 7c | 598.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…55c3backed Yes | 17c | 597.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf599…031cbacked Yes | 3c | 580.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…4464backed Yes | 8c | 567.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…c5e8backed Yes | 9c | 552.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…7f51backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…0a40backed Yes | 4c | 471.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…f0eabacked Yes | 11c | 467.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Yes | 11c | 460$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 10c | 457.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…ccf5backed Yes | 9c | 457.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 15c | 456.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…ea74backed Yes | 9c | 452.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 447.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…c734backed Yes | 12c | 445.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…215fbacked No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…0055backed Yes | 24c | 381.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f61dbacked Yes | 9c | 379.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4b…1a6bbacked Yes | 8c | 337.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…91debacked Yes | 11c | 312.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…3647backed Yes | 17c | 289.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…aa2fbacked Yes | 10c | 242.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…8b64backed Yes | 14c | 238.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…53debacked Yes | 13c | 233.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…8d33backed Yes | 5c | 229.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5fbdbacked Yes | 9c | 221.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…06dabacked Yes | 9c | 214.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…ef40backed Yes | 12c | 214.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485e…dcb4backed Yes | 10c | 210.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…9088backed Yes | 6c | 203.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 13c | 200.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a2…2b21backed Yes | 6c | 200.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…ef81backed Yes | 8c | 183.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 182$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…faedbacked Yes | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…e4efbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…6cd1backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…ce44backed Yes | 20c | 121.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…8200backed Yes | 17c | 117.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 13c | 115.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed Yes | 11c | 102.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…dd50backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…3430backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 14c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cc…9bc0backed Yes | 19c | 55.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…7ceebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $100 in November?this page
- Will Solana dip to $110 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in November?No won
- Will Solana dip to $130 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $160 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in November?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $210 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $230 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $240 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $260 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $270 in November?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.