TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $130 in November?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes35c32,642$11,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,247.1435123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes55c20,107$11,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,101.263835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40018425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No35c7,064$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.2229126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98b…cd57backed No0c5,358$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No13c4,786$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62012736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No51c3,497$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.0655032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa6…f7d9backed Yes43c3,440$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes46c3,415$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.8332524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5904839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes39c2,922$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.33933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c2,536$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb32…b646backed No43c2,232$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.673557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0894…cf93backed No43c2,000$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes3c1,868$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.7618315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes65c1,800$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5614075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9615…38acbacked Yes36c1,781$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.631428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes28c1,739$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.825735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes38c1,700$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0496950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No63c1,316$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.34949%24 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Yes9c1,286$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.392416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes15c1,010$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.134721.3%10 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a99…a499backed Yes65c998.33$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.332650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes6c902.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.56761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+94%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd91c…3830backed Yes75c874.65$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…8652backed Yes12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+124.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e66…d576backed No35c719.12$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked No23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16115754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3103…5ef3backed No75c653.33$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e6…d88ebacked No32c652.87$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes58c645.44$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4317229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No59c613$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.715837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed No19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11434848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed Yes61c600$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2323786.5%32 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed No19c581.75$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ae…f572backed Yes44c555.99$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.771060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No61c504.4$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.322975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe743…9093backed No23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf902…df82backed No23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2570…f09ebacked Yes78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9575…0386backed No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes5c499.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.991519.9%15 W · 136 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes51c499.97$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4216729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed No66c442.53$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9419439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7407…fe13backed Yes41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No51c384.31$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.944526.7%12 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+197.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No78c341.19$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.536250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb5d…be63backed Yes25c321.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.092015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes23c319.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.014621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368f…9ae9backed Yes56c319.23$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd045…a2d5backed No23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes13c300$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26110545.7%48 W · 57 L+22.9wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+94.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5f95…058bbacked Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+123.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…2e23backed No37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No7c296.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7716761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked No21c290.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.984742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x131a…73f9backed No70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+153.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes7c283.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.511693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Yes39c258.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa5…427abacked Yes11c215.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.431127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes11c214.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4830531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed No65c209.66$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.712035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e9…8f9fbacked Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262045%9 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+56.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No72c199.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.993237.5%12 W · 20 L-11.2wins-0.35per pick72cpaid-50.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0xe642…740bbacked Yes11c198.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+241.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da5…9c11backed No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96b4…884ebacked Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e7…c30fbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9889…2247backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c6…dbdabacked Yes76c130.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2173…2869backed No59c117.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x181d…e81dbacked Yes27c116.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+68.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…5961backed No62c116.56$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked No37c103.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1226274.4%195 W · 67 L+45.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x99b1…e4efbacked Yes34c102.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.43147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-79.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x903c…079bbacked Yes41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…160abacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked No51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29e6…0bd1backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+87%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Yes43c88.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e14…d58cbacked Yes60c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x406b…050abacked No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f9…fbbdbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Yes62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.45100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes57c78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.547835.9%28 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf07a…ac8dbacked Yes41c74.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…b4e6backed Yes38c72.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No45c66.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a66…5b1bbacked No68c61.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.992937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+23.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d59…9681backed No30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad27…270fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+152.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e53…0519backed Yes23c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No42c59.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.043969.2%27 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.