TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72d7…a3dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
284
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT21641.7%90 W · 126 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 216 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+204.3%+$38.94
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$61.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$29.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.38
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+130.7%+$53.11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+314.2%+$46.87
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$67.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$27.23
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Showing 25 of 216 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+83.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.78
Will Super Bowl LX have between 116M and 120M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$57.05
Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$30
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+512.1%+$112.71
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+167.5%+$348.41
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+614.3%+$122.86
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.55
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+537.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+199.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-56.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Georgia State vs. Vanderbiltbacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona State vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.77
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.