NFL · resolved market
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7071a5d3089a82258ce3b200ff937c8188a700fba946f1c8ecc3c0c52df43ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 8c | 1,250$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 48c | 602.93$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes | 18c | 542.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…012dbacked Yes | 24c | 412.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 399.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 24c | 374.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 294.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…fcaebacked No | 29c | 287.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 13c | 281.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 17c | 272.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 205.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.82 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…b507backed Yes | 9c | 190$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +104%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…8d2abacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +128.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Yes | 23c | 162.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 76c | 152.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…b139backed No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…4bbebacked No | 75c | 148.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 19c | 136.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f5e9backed Yes | 13c | 135$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 16c | 134.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 21c | 132.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…fce1backed Yes | 23c | 131.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 24c | 128.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 20c | 106$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…5134backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +159.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…8178backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 94.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…f38abacked Yes | 13c | 92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 23c | 91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 50c | 87.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 23c | 85.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…ed0fbacked Yes | 18c | 57.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…d39cbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…0f1dbacked Yes | 30c | 54.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…fe06backed Yes | 68c | 52.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 49.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 76c | 49.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…2b57backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?this page
- Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 116M and 120M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 120M and 124M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 136M and 140M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.