NFL · resolved market
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0cbbc56ad40423ee6730921da97e53199092fe5a452dc76bab562e6f464cdcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 33c | 1,276$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 66c | 1,100$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.31 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 57c | 567.27$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 39c | 500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…bf79backed Yes | 23c | 453.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 30c | 437.02$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 26c | 370$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…fce1backed Yes | 31c | 365.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…9dbfbacked Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Yes | 28c | 299.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes | 35c | 288.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 69c | 286.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Yes | 42c | 285.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 22c | 285.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 65c | 263.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 17c | 249.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 61c | 248.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 69c | 228.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 74c | 223.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 181.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 76c | 167.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 75c | 167.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 78c | 166.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933e…ccb6backed No | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 156.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 149.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 146.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Yes | 15c | 133.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 57c | 122.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 30c | 119.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…5771backed Yes | 42c | 118.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…0d85backed Yes | 20c | 108.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…19a6backed Yes | 35c | 98.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…9e5cbacked Yes | 43c | 94.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 48c | 90.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Yes | 43c | 87.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…262abacked Yes | 26c | 83.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f5e9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Yes | 31c | 69.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…e957backed No | 61c | 67.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…7666backed Yes | 40c | 63.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4838…30f0backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 34c | 55.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…d39cbacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…9f14backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…ffebbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…f038backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…f3c1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…85aabacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 73c | 41.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…3041backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 55c | 40.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 37c | 38.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 66c | 26.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed No | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…1a8ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…5e0bbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…5682backed Yes | 62c | 20.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?this page
- Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 116M and 120M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 120M and 124M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?Yes won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 136M and 140M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.