TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a70…18f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
316
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT17542.3%74 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 175 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.48
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.77
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$60
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$252
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$25.8
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$114.05
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Showing 25 of 175 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$378.99
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$122.2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.42
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.45
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$51
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.32
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.88
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.68
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.5
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.79
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$48.4
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+61.4%+$606.2
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.2%+$36
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$31.89
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.3%+$37.7
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$215
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.9%+$50.16
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$125.48
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$161.13
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$84.95
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.47
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.98
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.1%+$48.44
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37.9%+$204.74
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+87.6%+$36.11
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$79.94
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$205.76
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55.89
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.31
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Tennessee State Tigersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Lindenwood Lions vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Lindenwood Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.1
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.74
Binghamton Bearcats vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+219.3%+$43.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+107.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+97.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$40.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$46.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$204.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.