NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd29301a93519f5b1359ebc0e8b85442deb94b8e878e19afaafaedf5483ea54d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Avalanche | 31c | 32,016$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 69c | 20,881$14,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,482 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Avalanche | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Golden Knights | 69c | 12,178$8,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.54 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Avalanche | 31c | 11,806$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 30c | 11,532$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.58 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Golden Knights | 69c | 10,655$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Golden Knights | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 68c | 5,374$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.64 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights | 69c | 3,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden Knights | 70c | 2,424$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.2 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Golden Knights | 69c | 2,152$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Golden Knights | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 1,959$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.42 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Golden Knights | 69c | 1,724$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.52 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd463…198fbacked Avalanche | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Avalanche | 31c | 1,595$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,150$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Golden Knights | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Golden Knights | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Avalanche | 27c | 823.23$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche | 8c | 760$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Avalanche | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 31c | 634.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7571…33ebbacked Avalanche | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Golden Knights | 69c | 599.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 74c | 541.65$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Avalanche | 16c | 531.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Avalanche | 31c | 403.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Avalanche | 17c | 364.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Avalanche | 30c | 310.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…af9cbacked Avalanche | 31c | 258.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Golden Knights | 70c | 230.14$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Golden Knights | 69c | 209.46$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 69c | 200.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Avalanche | 30c | 185$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Avalanche | 30c | 180.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Golden Knights | 70c | 178.97$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Avalanche | 12c | 160.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…16f6backed Avalanche | 30c | 160.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…cbd6backed Avalanche | 31c | 155.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Golden Knights | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…105abacked Golden Knights | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Avalanche | 15c | 142.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Avalanche | 22c | 119.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Avalanche | 30c | 115.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…d258backed Avalanche | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Avalanche | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden Knights | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Golden Knights | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…d379backed Avalanche | 20c | 96.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Avalanche | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Golden Knights | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Golden Knights | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 77.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Golden Knights | 70c | 71.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Avalanche | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Golden Knights | 70c | 61.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Avalanche | 30c | 59.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Golden Knights | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Avalanche | 21c | 55.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…6ea6backed Golden Knights | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Golden Knights | 70c | 48.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Golden Knights | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Golden Knights | 71c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Golden Knights | 71c | 42.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Avalanche | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Golden Knights | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 799 | 56.1%448 W · 351 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Golden Knights | 70c | 39.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Golden Knights | 70c | 39.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Golden Knights | 71c | 38.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Golden Knights | 69c | 36.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8559…c9f7backed Avalanche | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Avalanche | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Golden Knights | 70c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Avalanche | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Golden Knights | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…fe1abacked Golden Knights | 70c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3f4bbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed Golden Knights | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Golden Knights | 70c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +78%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…66afbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Golden Knights | 70c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…4d56backed Golden Knights | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d37…6a58backed Golden Knights | 70c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Golden Knights | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5722…c03cbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…e241backed Golden Knights | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.