NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf3c99d56fde3c8772cad422aba55be46f2b34c5353ff9fffed989fe2e6eca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 2,231$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.96 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 58c | 1,870$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 1,787$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.7 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 25c | 1,662$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 76c | 1,445$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.21 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 969.7$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.43 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 43c | 857$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.32 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Over | 58c | 371.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 58c | 349.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 305.36$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 293.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 26c | 292$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 26c | 277$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 42c | 241$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 79c | 204$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 58c | 185.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Under | 70c | 159.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 154.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 17c | 121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 59c | 120.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 102.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 58c | 91.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 42c | 89.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…4f1fbacked Over | 58c | 71.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 78c | 67.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 55c | 63.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 57.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 42c | 45.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 49c | 37.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…dd8dbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 72c | 27.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…517abacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…b432backed Over | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…7ae9backed Over | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.